Foodservice in Canada

Note: This report includes forecasting data that is based on baseline historical data.

Executive summary

With a population of approximately 40.1 million and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Canada was worth US$2.14 trillion in 2022, according to official data from the World Bank. Canada is therefore currently ranked 9th of the major economies.

COVID-19 had a strong impact on Canada especially in 2020 and 2021. Compared with the consumer spending Can$56,265.1 million in 2021, consumer spending significantly increased to Can$65,901.8 million in 2022. It grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.4% from 2017 to 2022.

Compared with pre-pandemic year 2019, consumer spending on the full-service restaurants declined to Can$16,489.6 million in 2020 and Can$21,157.7 million in 2021 respectively, but recovered to Can$25,913.7 million in 2022, higher than 2019 level: Can$25,812.1 million. Compared with pre-pandemic year 2019, consumer spending on the limited-service restaurants declined to Can$27,010.2 million and Can$30,189.4 million respectively in 2020 and 2021, rebounding to Can$33,811.5 million, again higher then pre-pandemic 2019 level: Can$31,775.9 million. The CAGR grew at 2.2% from 2017 to 2022.

Sales of café/bars plummet in 2020 (Can$3,538.4 million), 2021 (Can$3,538.4 million) and 2022 (Can$5,166.7 million) compared with Can$5,864.5 million in 2019. The CAGR growth for cafés/bars was −1.6% between 2017 and 2022.

Sales of self-service cafeteria plummeted in 2020 (Can$316.3 million), 2021 (Can$391.8 million) and 2022 (Can$486.1 million) compared with Can$654.6 million in 2019 due to home seclusion and COVID-19 measures. It grew negatively at a CAGR of −5.4% from 2017 to 2022.

The street stalls/kiosks channel remained highly fragmented being dominated by independents, Can$523.8 million in 2022 compared with Can$615.6 million in 2019, growing negatively at a CAGR of −2.3% from 2017 to 2022.

 

Market overview and consumption trends

With a population of approximately 40.1 million and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Canada was worth US$2.14 trillion in 2022, according to official data from the World Bank. Canada is therefore currently ranked 9th of the major economies.

Consumer foodservice

COVID-19 had a strong impact on Canada especially in 2020 and 2021. Compared with the consumer spending Can$56,265.1 million in 2021, consumer spending significantly rebounded to Can$65,901.8 million in 2022, higher than the 2019 level at Can$64,722.7 million. It grew at a CAGR of 1.4% from 2017 to 2022.

The chained consumer spending and independent consumer spending increased in 2022 compared with 2021. But compared with the chained and independent consumer spending in 2017, chained and independent consumer spending in 2022 was higher. That is why the CAGR of chained consumer foodservice was 1.7% and independent consumer foodservice was 1.0% between 2017 and 2022.

Canadian Consumer Spending in Foodservice in Can$ million, 2017 to 2022

Category

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

CAGR* % 2017-2022

Consumer Foodservice by type

61,337.6

63,126.3

64,722.7

47,635.1

56,265.1

65,901.8

1.4

Chained Consumer Foodservice

38,808.7

39,821.3

40,856.4

32,356.0

36,815.7

42,256.6

1.7

Independent Consumer Foodservice

22,528.9

23,305.1

23,866.2

15,279.1

19,449.4

23,645.2

1.0

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Consumer spending is forecast to increase at a CAGR of 6.6% between 2022 and 2027. Among which chained consumer foodservice will grow 6.5% and independent consumer foodservice will grow 6.7% between 2022 and 2027.

Canadian Consumer Spending in Foodservice in Can$ million, 2022 to 2027

Category

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

CAGR* % 2022-2027

Consumer Foodservice by Type

65,901.8

71,827.8

76,943.2

81,687.9

86,197.8

90,549.7

6.6

Chained Consumer Foodservice

42,256.6

45,922.0

49,073.2

52,064.6

54,974.1

57,791.5

6.5

Independent Consumer Foodservice

23,645.2

25,905.8

27,870.0

29,623.3

31,223.8

32,758.2

6.7

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Full-service restaurants

In February 2022, the government of Canada lifted all pandemic-related restrictions such as physical distancing measures, limitations on the number of persons allowed inside and mask mandates. Since then, Canadians have returned to full-service restaurants. Dine-in sales almost doubled in 2022 compared to the previous year (Euromonitor 2023).

Compared with pre-pandemic year 2019, consumer spending on the full-service restaurants declined to Can$16,489.6 million in 2020 and Can$21,157.7 million in 2021 respectively but recovered to Can$25,913.7 million in 2022, bigger than 2019 level: Can$25,812.1 million. Chained full-service restaurants declined to Can$7,569.6 million in 2021 and Can$10,911.4 million in 2022 respectively from its Can$11,236.8 million in 2019.

Although independent full-service restaurant decreased in 2020 and 2021 but recovered and surpassed 2019 level (Can$14,575.3 million) to Can$15,002.4 million in 2022.

North American full-service restaurants (chained and independent) and sales did not return to the level seen before the pandemic. In 2022, Pizza full-service restaurants rebounded to 2019 level. Both Its chained and independent full-service rebounded to 2019 level respectively.

In August 2022, sales resumed pre-pandemic patterns, despite inflation and supply chain challenges. By the end of the third quarter, value sales and the number of transactions of full-service restaurants were higher than in the third quarter of 2019 (Euromonitor 2023).

Full-service restaurant: Chained full-service restaurant vs. independent restaurant Can$ million 2017-2022

Category

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

CAGR* % 2017-2022

Full-Service Restaurants

24,242.4

25,148.8

25,812.1

16,489.6

21,157.7

25,913.7

1.3

Chained full-service restaurants

10,622.1

10,987.4

11,236.8

7,569.6

8,969.1

10,911.4

0.5

Independent full-service restaurants

13,620.3

14,161.4

14,575.3

8,920.0

12,188.5

15,002.4

2.0

Full-Service Restaurants by Type

24,242.4

25,148.8

25,812.1

16,489.6

21,157.7

25,913.7

1.3

Asian Full-Service Restaurants

4,835.3

5,121.8

5,284.7

3,401.0

4,535.2

5,455.4

2.4

Chained Asian Full-Service Restaurants

1,836.5

1,943.0

2,016.9

1,378.2

1,612.3

1,959.5

1.3

Independent Asian Full-Service Restaurants

2,998.8

3,178.8

3,267.8

2,022.8

2,923.0

3,495.8

3.1

 European Full-Service Restaurants

2,979.6

3,127.0

3,258.0

1,852.3

2,466.2

3,240.3

1.7

Chained European Full-Service Restaurants

801.4

839.9

872.6

568.9

663.0

802.4

0.0

Independent European Full-Service Restaurants

2,178.2

2,287.1

2,385.4

1,283.4

1,803.2

2,437.9

2.3

Latin American Full-Service Restaurants

404.8

422.2

441.1

232.9

328.1

436.6

1.5

Chained Latin American Full-Service Restaurants

121.5

126.1

132.3

91.5

113.0

139.0

2.7

Independent Latin American Full-Service Restaurants

283.3

296.1

308.8

141.4

215.1

297.6

1.0

Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants

78.7

82.0

85.1

54.4

64.5

81.3

0.7

Independent Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants

78.7

82.0

85.1

54.4

64.5

81.3

0.7

North American Full-Service Restaurants

6,903.4

7,092.4

7,216.3

4,357.7

5,709.1

6,815.5

−0.3

Chained North American Full-Service Restaurants

4,517.5

4,634.9

4,699.8

3,044.1

3,728.9

4,348.2

−0.8

Independent North American Full-Service Restaurants

2,385.9

2,457.5

2,516.5

1,313.6

1,980.2

2,467.3

0.7

Pizza Full-Service Restaurants

2,840.3

2,910.9

2,966.6

2,321.6

2,857.5

3,595.3

4.8

Chained Pizza Full-Service Restaurants

1,785.3

1,830.6

1,863.6

1,439.2

1,578.0

2,010.0

2.4

Independent Pizza Full-Service Restaurants

1,055.0

1,080.3

1,103.0

882.4

1,279.5

1,585.3

8.5

Other Full-Service Restaurants

6,200.3

6,392.5

6,560.3

4,269.7

5,197.1

6,289.4

0.3

Chained Other Full-Service Restaurants

1,559.9

1,612.9

1,651.6

1,047.7

1,274.0

1,652.3

1.2

Independent Other Full-Service Restaurants

4,640.4

4,779.6

4,908.7

3,222.0

3,923.1

4,637.1

0.0

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

It is forecast that the foodservice sales will grow at a CAGR of 6.9% between 2022 and 2027 as the COVID-19 dies down and customer choose to enjoy the full service restaurants more often. All the subcategories grow as it is expected at the strong CAGR varying from 5.0% (Chained Asian Full-Service Restaurants) to 9.6% (chained North American Full-Service Restaurants) from 2022 to 2027.

Full-service restaurant: Chained full-service restaurant vs. independent restaurant Can$ million 2022 to 2027

Category

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

CAGR* % 2022-2027

Full-Service Restaurants

25,913.7

28,172.9

30,374.5

32,384.8

34,274.0

36,092.0

6.9

Chained full-service restaurants

10,911.4

11,933.9

12,869.7

13,738.1

14,583.0

15,395.7

7.1

Independent full-service restaurants

15,002.4

16,239.0

17,504.7

18,646.8

19,691.0

20,696.3

6.6

Full-Service Restaurants by Type

25,913.7

28,172.9

30,374.5

32,384.8

34,274.0

36,092.0

6.9

Asian Full-Service Restaurants

5,455.4

5,963.7

6,445.3

6,876.7

7,253.8

7,617.8

6.9

Chained Asian Full-Service Restaurants

1,959.5

2,102.9

2,230.9

2,337.0

2,424.2

2,499.8

5.0

Independent Asian Full-Service Restaurants

3,495.8

3,860.7

4,214.4

4,539.7

4,829.6

5,118.0

7.9

 European Full-Service Restaurants

3,240.3

3,375.0

3,622.0

3,840.6

4,044.0

4,241.2

5.5

Chained European Full-Service Restaurants

802.4

876.0

927.4

973.7

1,017.4

1,061.7

5.8

Independent European Full-Service Restaurants

2,437.9

2,499.0

2,694.7

2,866.8

3,026.5

3,179.5

5.5

Latin American Full-Service Restaurants

436.6

472.2

506.2

538.9

570.1

599.7

6.6

Chained Latin American Full-Service Restaurants

139.0

148.8

158.2

166.5

174.2

181.5

5.5

Independent Latin American Full-Service Restaurants

297.6

323.4

348.1

372.4

395.8

418.3

7.0

Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants

81.3

89.8

97.4

104.4

110.7

117.2

7.6

Independent Middle Eastern Full-Service Restaurants

81.3

89.8

97.4

104.4

110.7

117.2

7.6

North American Full-Service Restaurants

6,815.5

7,572.8

8,308.5

9,017.7

9,728.4

10,426.5

8.9

Chained North American Full-Service Restaurants

4,348.2

4,860.8

5,375.8

5,867.7

6,374.0

6,871.8

9.6

Independent North American Full-Service Restaurants

2,467.3

2,712.0

2,932.7

3,150.1

3,354.4

3,554.8

7.6

Pizza Full-Service Restaurants

3,595.3

3,901.4

4,161.0

4,404.5

4,619.1

4,820.9

6.0

Chained Pizza Full-Service Restaurants

2,010.0

2,167.1

2,294.6

2,413.0

2,522.8

2,627.2

5.5

Independent Pizza Full-Service Restaurants

1,585.3

1,734.3

1,866.5

1,991.4

2,096.3

2,193.7

6.7

Other Full-Service Restaurants

6,289.4

6,798.1

7,234.0

7,602.0

7,947.9

8,268.6

5.6

Chained Other Full-Service Restaurants

1,652.3

1,778.3

1,882.9

1,980.1

2,070.2

2,153.7

5.4

Independent Other Full-Service Restaurants

4,637.1

5,019.8

5,351.1

5,621.9

5,877.7

6,114.8

5.7

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Limited-service restaurants

Compared with pre-pandemic year 2019, consumer spending on the limited-service restaurants declined to Can$27,010.2 million and Can$30,189.4 million respectively in 2020 and 2021, but rebounded to Can$33,811.5 million, bigger than 2019 level: Can$31,775.9 million. The CAGR grew at 2.2% from 2017 to 2022.

For the chained limited-service restaurants, consumer spending decreased in 2020 and 2021, but rebounded to Can$28,853.1 million in 2022 compared with Can$26,826.6 million in 2019, growing at a CAGR of 2.5% from 2017 to 2022. For the independent limited-service restaurants, consumer spending decreased in 2020 and 2021, but rebounded to Can$4,958.4 million in 2022 compared with Can$4,949.3 million in 2019, growing at a CAGR of 1.0% from 2017 to 2022.

The bakery products limited service restaurant and burger limited service restaurant are the two best performing categories, registering Can$11,992.3 million and Can$12,028.7 million respectively in 2022. Their CAGR growth are 2.5% and 2.7% respectively from 2017 to 2022.

Limited-service restaurant sales recorded strong growth in 2022, both in terms of value and the number of transactions, reaching volume levels close to pre-pandemic levels. However, inflationary pressures are a key contributor to this strong value increase (Euromonitor 2023).

Limited-service restaurant: chained vs. independent limited-service restaurant, Can$ million 2017 - 2022

Category

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

CAGR* % 2017-2022

Limited-Service Restaurants

30,266.5

30,986.1

31,775.9

27,010.2

30,189.4

33,811.5

2.2

Chained Limited-Service Restaurant

25,558.2

26,148.3

26,826.6

22,930.2

25,720.0

28,853.1

2.5

Independent Limited-Service Restaurant

4,708.3

4,837.8

4,949.3

4,080.0

4,469.4

4,958.4

1.0

Limited-Service Restaurant by type

30,266.5

30,986.1

31,775.9

27,010.2

30,189.4

33,811.5

2.2

Asian Limited-Service Restaurant

812.0

854.8

890.5

618.4

757.8

800.4

−0.3

Chained Asian Limited-Service Restaurant

426.3

449.8

467.3

287.0

378.8

400.4

−1.2

Independent Asian Limited-Service Restaurant

385.7

405.0

423.2

331.4

379.0

400.0

0.7

Bakery Products Limited-Service Restaurant

10,624.8

10,722.4

10,832.9

9,136.1

10,229.0

11,992.3

2.5

Chained Bakery Products Limited-Service Restaurant

9,631.7

9,718.3

9,825.2

8,291.8

9,347.0

11,036.0

2.8

Independent Bakery Products Limited-Service Restaurant

993.2

1,004.1

1,007.6

844.3

882.0

956.3

−0.8

Burger Limited-Service Restaurant

10,504.9

10,814.5

11,222.0

9,490.6

10,898.2

12,028.7

2.7

Chained Burger Limited-Service Restaurant

9,382.7

9,658.6

10,025.7

8,543.5

9,738.0

10,691.0

2.6

 Independent Burger Limited-Service Restaurant

1,122.2

1,155.9

1,196.3

947.1

1,160.2

1,337.7

3.6

Chicken Limited-Service Restaurant

1,155.6

1,186.2

1,221.0

1,150.1

1,304.8

1,401.5

3.9

Chained Chicken Limited-Service Restaurant

982.1

1,010.5

1,042.9

990.0

1,139.3

1,217.4

4.4

Independent Chicken Limited-Service Restaurant

173.6

175.7

178.1

160.1

165.5

184.1

1.2

Convenience Stores Limited-Service Restaurant

953.4

983.5

1,010.1

796.8

895.0

993.3

0.8

Chained Convenience Stores Limited-Service Restaurant

828.5

860.3

890.4

703.9

793.3

879.0

1.2

Independent Convenience Stores Limited-Service Restaurant

125.0

123.3

119.7

92.9

101.7

114.3

−1.8

Fish Limited-Service Restaurant

52.4

52.2

50.7

38.0

40.6

43.5

−3.7

Independent Fish Limited-Service Restaurant

52.4

52.2

50.7

38.0

40.6

43.5

−3.7

Ice Cream Limited-Service Restaurant

650.1

664.3

685.4

618.5

676.0

757.6

3.1

Chained Ice Cream Limited-Service Restaurant

582.7

595.5

615.8

558.4

610.4

684.5

3.3

Independent Ice Cream Limited-Service Restaurant

67.4

68.7

69.6

60.1

65.6

73.1

1.6

Latin American Limited-Service Restaurant

554.9

573.2

589.3

502.0

531.1

578.5

0.8

Chained Latin American Limited-Service Restaurant

285.8

296.1

305.3

263.8

282.2

308.0

1.5

Independent Latin American Limited-Service Restaurant

269.0

277.1

284.0

238.2

248.9

270.5

0.1

Middle Eastern Limited-Service Restaurant

393.5

405.0

413.6

338.7

358.0

393.0

0.0

Chained Middle Eastern Limited-Service Restaurant

284.4

291.5

297.6

251.5

262.4

286.3

0.1

Independent Middle Eastern Limited-Service Restaurant

109.1

113.5

116.0

87.2

95.7

106.7

−0.4

Pizza Limited-Service Restaurant

3,111.2

3,221.5

3,311.8

3,121.7

3,191.1

3,400.1

1.8

Chained Pizza Limited-Service Restaurant

2,305.1

2,388.0

2,454.9

2,308.7

2,374.0

2,507.0

1.7

Independent Pizza Limited-Service Restaurant

806.1

833.5

856.8

813.0

817.1

893.1

2.1

Other Limited-Service Restaurant

1,453.7

1,508.5

1,548.7

1,199.3

1,307.8

1,422.8

−0.4

Chained Other Limited-Service Restaurant

849.0

879.6

901.6

731.6

794.7

843.6

−0.1

Independent Other Limited-Service Restaurant

604.7

628.9

647.2

467.7

513.1

579.3

−0.9

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Over the forecast period, limited-service restaurants are projected to increase at a CAGR of 6.2% from 2022 to 2027, reaching Can$45,602.3 million in 2027. All the subcategories grow between a CAGR of 2.8% (Fish Limited-Service Restaurants) and 8.4% (Chained Ice Cream Limited-Service Restaurants) from 2022 to 2027.

Limited-service restaurant: Chained full-service restaurant vs. independent restaurant Can$ million 2022 to 2027

Category

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

CAGR* % 2022-2027

Limited-Service Restaurants

33,811.5

36,672.4

39,041.6

41,299.8

43,489.1

45,602.3

6.2

Chained Limited-Service Restaurant

28,853.1

31,259.1

33,258.0

35,185.4

37,084.2

38,922.7

6.2

Independent Limited-Service Restaurant

4,958.4

5,413.2

5,783.6

6,114.4

6,404.9

6,679.6

6.1

Limited-Service Restaurant by Type

33,811.5

36,672.4

39,041.6

41,299.8

43,489.1

45,602.3

6.2

Asian Limited-Service Restaurant

800.4

868.5

924.9

975.5

1,023.9

1,070.4

6.0

Chained Asian Limited-Service Restaurant

400.4

434.3

462.5

487.8

511.9

535.2

6.0

Independent Asian Limited-Service Restaurant

400.0

434.3

462.5

487.8

511.9

535.2

6.0

Bakery Products Limited-Service Restaurant

11,992.3

12,952.9

13,746.4

14,463.2

15,207.2

15,941.6

5.9

Chained Bakery Products Limited-Service Restaurant

11,036.0

11,912.4

12,637.4

13,302.9

14,003.1

14,696.6

5.9

Independent Bakery Products Limited-Service Restaurant

956.3

1,040.5

1,109.0

1,160.3

1,204.1

1,245.0

5.4

Burger Limited-Service Restaurant

12,028.7

13,039.2

13,902.8

14,788.2

15,618.7

16,417.4

6.4

Chained Burger Limited-Service Restaurant

10,691.0

11,573.0

12,324.8

13,099.7

13,829.3

14,528.4

6.3

Independent Burger Limited-Service Restaurant

1,337.7

1,466.2

1,578.0

1,688.5

1,789.4

1,889.0

7.1

Chicken Limited-Service Restaurant

1,401.5

1,536.8

1,662.9

1,782.6

1,895.6

2,005.7

7.4

Chained Chicken Limited-Service Restaurant

1,217.4

1,335.6

1,447.0

1,554.2

1,656.6

1,757.3

7.6

Independent Chicken Limited-Service Restaurant

184.1

201.2

215.9

228.4

239.0

248.4

6.2

Convenience Stores Limited-Service Restaurant

993.3

1,106.2

1,188.1

1,264.8

1,337.2

1,400.7

7.1

Chained Convenience Stores Limited-Service Restaurant

879.0

980.6

1,053.6

1,122.2

1,188.0

1,246.2

7.2

Independent Convenience Stores Limited-Service Restaurant

114.3

125.6

134.5

142.5

149.2

154.4

6.2

Fish Limited-Service Restaurant

43.5

46.3

47.4

48.3

49.2

50.0

2.8

Independent Fish Limited-Service Restaurant

43.5

46.3

47.4

48.3

49.2

50.0

2.8

Ice Cream Limited-Service Restaurant

757.6

836.4

907.9

977.8

1,052.9

1,125.4

8.2

Chained Ice Cream Limited-Service Restaurant

684.5

756.0

821.4

885.6

955.7

1,023.5

8.4

Independent Ice Cream Limited-Service Restaurant

73.1

80.4

86.6

92.2

97.2

101.9

6.9

Latin American Limited-Service Restaurant

578.5

632.6

675.8

714.8

750.2

783.5

6.3

Chained Latin American Limited-Service Restaurant

308.0

336.9

361.2

383.9

405.3

425.8

6.7

Independent Latin American Limited-Service Restaurant

270.5

295.7

314.6

330.8

344.9

357.7

5.7

Middle Eastern Limited-Service Restaurant

393.0

428.8

456.0

479.0

499.1

517.0

5.6

Chained Middle Eastern Limited-Service Restaurant

286.3

311.2

329.1

344.8

359.1

372.1

5.4

Independent Middle Eastern Limited-Service Restaurant

106.7

117.7

126.9

134.2

140.1

144.9

6.3

Pizza Limited-Service Restaurant

3,400.1

3,679.8

3,892.7

4,085.3

4,264.3

4,435.2

5.5

Chained Pizza Limited-Service Restaurant

2,507.0

2,709.3

2,865.2

3,006.8

3,140.0

3,266.7

5.4

Independent Pizza Limited-Service Restaurant

893.1

970.5

1,027.6

1,078.5

1,124.3

1,168.5

5.5

Other Limited-Service Restaurant

1,422.8

1,544.8

1,636.5

1,720.3

1,790.8

1,855.5

5.5

Chained Other Limited-Service Restaurant

843.6

909.9

955.9

997.5

1,035.1

1,070.8

4.9

Independent Other Limited-Service Restaurant

579.3

634.9

680.7

722.8

755.7

784.6

6.3

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Cafés and bars

Sales of café/bars plummet in 2020 (Can$3,538.4 million), 2021 (Can$4,127.6 million) and 2022 (Can$5,166.7 million) compared with Can$5,864.5 million in 2019. The CAGR growth for cafés/bars was −1.6% between 2017 and 2022, in which chained cafes/bars was −0.1% and independent cafes/bars was −2.5%. Sales of some subcategories started to rebound in 2022 although the total cafes/bars sales (chained and independent) still lower than the 2019 level.

Specialist Coffee and Tea Shops are the best performing categories at Can$2,437.5 million in 2022. It grew at a CAGR of 1.5% from 2017 to 2022. Especially Independent specialist coffee and tea shops rebounded to Can$778.5 million, surpassing 2019 level: Can$733.6 million, with its growth at a CAGR of 2.1% from 2017 to 2022.

Cafés/bars: chained vs. independent cafés/bars in Can$ millions 2017 to 2022

Category

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

CAGR* % 2017-2022

Cafés / Bars

5,598.4

5,737.7

5,864.5

3,538.4

4,127.6

5,166.7

−1.6

Chained cafés / bars

2,063.2

2,113.0

2,215.8

1,566.2

1,752.0

2,056.0

−0.1

Independent cafés / bars

3,535.2

3,624.7

3,648.7

1,972.2

2,375.6

3,110.7

−2.5

Bars / Pubs

2,423.7

2,479.7

2,468.0

1,227.2

1,442.1

2,047.3

−3.3

Chained bars / pubs

317.9

319.2

318.1

159.1

205.0

268.0

−3.4

Independent bars / pubs

2,105.8

2,160.5

2,149.9

1,068.1

1,237.1

1,779.3

−3.3

Cafés

120.6

123.5

125.9

82.6

100.5

127.3

1.1

Independent cafés

120.6

123.5

125.9

82.6

100.5

127.3

1.1

Juice / Smoothie Bars

788.4

811.3

830.2

330.5

430.9

554.6

−6.8

Chained Juice / Smoothie Bars

180.5

185.2

190.9

79.9

102.0

129.0

−6.5

Independent Juice / Smoothie Bars

607.9

626.1

639.3

250.6

328.9

425.6

−6.9

Specialist Coffee and Tea Shops

2,265.7

2,323.2

2,440.4

1,898.1

2,154.0

2,437.5

1.5

Chained specialist coffee and

 

tea shops

1,564.8

1,608.6

1,706.8

1,327.2

1,445.0

1,659.0

1.2

Independent specialist coffee and tea shops

700.9

714.6

733.6

570.9

709.0

778.5

2.1

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Over the forecast period, cafés/bars are projected to increase at a 7.8%, reaching Can$7,529.0 million in 2027. Although the recovery of cafés/bars is expected to be slower than other consumer foodservice channels, sales of the most categories and subcategories are expected to return to pre-COVID levels in 2027

Cafés/bars: chained vs. independent cafés/bars in Can$ millions 2022 to 2027

Category

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

CAGR* % 2021-2026

Cafés / Bars

5,166.7

5,887.1

6,366.6

6,782.8

7,160.3

7,529.0

7.8

Chained cafés / bars

2,056.0

2,259.5

2,452.8

2,628.9

2,778.0

2,928.6

7.3

Independent cafés / bars

3,110.7

3,627.6

3,913.8

4,153.9

4,382.3

4,600.4

8.1

Bars / Pubs

2,047.3

2,478.5

2,690.6

2,860.3

3,022.5

3,178.3

9.2

Chained bars / pubs

268.0

288.3

304.7

319.8

334.3

347.8

5.4

Independent bars / pubs

1,779.3

2,190.2

2,386.0

2,540.5

2,688.2

2,830.5

9.7

Cafés

127.3

139.3

149.2

158.7

168.3

177.9

6.9

Independent cafés

127.3

139.3

149.2

158.7

168.3

177.9

6.9

Juice / Smoothie Bars

554.6

596.8

639.6

681.9

721.9

759.4

6.5

Chained Juice / Smoothie Bars

129.0

140.3

151.4

162.3

173.0

183.7

7.3

Independent Juice / Smoothie Bars

425.6

456.5

488.2

519.6

548.9

575.7

6.2

Specialist Coffee and Tea Shops

2,437.5

2,672.5

2,887.2

3,081.9

3,247.6

3,413.4

7.0

Chained specialist coffee and tea shops

1,659.0

1,830.9

1,996.7

2,146.8

2,270.7

2,397.1

7.6

Independent specialist coffee and tea shops

778.5

841.6

890.5

935.1

976.9

1,016.3

5.5

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Self-service café

Self-service cafeterias continued on the road to recovery in 2022 with positive growth following the severe decline in 2020 as consumers feared contagion from the multiple handling of serving devices and the self-serve format was prohibited under health and safety measures implemented by each provincial government to slow the spread of COVID-19 (Euromonitor 2023).

Sales of self-service cafeteria plummet in 2020 (Can$316.3 million), 2021 (Can$391.8 million) and 2022 (Can$486.1 million) compared with Can$654.6 million in 2019 due to home seclusion and COVID-19 measures. It grew negatively at a CAGR of −5.4% from 2017 to 2022.

Self-service cafeteria: chained vs. independent self-service cafeteria in Can$ millions 2016 to 2021

Category

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

CAGR* % 2017-2022

Self-Service Cafeterias

642.8

652.0

654.6

316.3

391.8

486.1

−5.4

Chained self-service cafeterias

448.7

455.0

457.4

233.2

292.5

337.6

−5.5

Independent self-service cafeterias

194.1

197.0

197.2

83.1

99.3

148.5

−5.2

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Over the forecast period, self-service cafeteria is expected to see a 4.0% CAGR between 2022 and 2027, reaching US$591.4 million in 2027.

Self-service cafeteria: chained vs. independent self-service cafeteria in Can$ millions, 2022 to 2027

Category

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

CAGR* % 2022-2027

Self-Service Cafeterias

486.1

521.8

544.8

563.5

578.1

591.4

4.0

Chained self-service cafeterias

337.6

362.3

378.4

391.0

400.8

410.0

4.0

Independent self-service cafeterias

148.5

159.5

166.4

172.5

177.3

181.4

4.1

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Street stalls / kiosks

The street stalls/kiosks channel remained highly fragmented being dominated by independents, Can$523.8 million in 2022 compared with Can$615.6 million in 2019, growing negatively at a CAGR of −2.3% from 2017 to 2022. Chained street stalls/kiosks only represented Can$98.6 million in 2022, down from Can$119.8 million in 2019, growing negatively positively at −3.3% from 2017 to 2022. Independent street stalls/kiosks saw declined sales at Can$425.2 million in 2022, down from Can$495.7 million in 2019, growing negatively at a CAGR of −2.0% from 2017 to 2022.

Street stalls/kiosks continued on the road to recovery in 2022, following the steep decline in 2020. Outlet numbers continued to rise in 2022 and value sales recorded double-digit growth. As Canadians resumed work at the office, street stalls/kiosk business rose (Euromonitor 2023).

Street stalls / kiosks: chained vs. independent street stalls / kiosks in Can$ million 2017 to 2022

Category

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

CAGR* % 2017-2022

Street Stalls / Kiosks

587.5

601.7

615.6

280.6

398.8

523.8

−2.3

Chained street stalls / kiosks

116.6

117.6

119.8

56.8

82.1

98.6

−3.3

Independent street stalls / kiosks

470.9

484.1

495.7

223.8

316.7

425.2

−2.0

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Over the forecast period, street stalls/kiosks are projected to see a 7.0% CAGR from 2022 to 2027, reaching Can$735.0 million in 2027.

Street stalls / kiosks: chained vs. independent street stalls / kiosks in Can$ million 2022 to 2027

Category

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

CAGR* % 2022-2027

Street Stalls / Kiosks

523.8

573.6

615.8

657.0

696.3

735.0

7.0

Chained street stalls / kiosks

98.6

107.2

114.2

121.3

128.1

134.5

6.4

Independent street stalls / kiosks

425.2

466.5

501.6

535.7

568.2

600.4

7.1

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Online vs offline ordering

The online consumer service became very popular after the pandemic started. It increased from 10.0% in 2019 to 31.1% in 2020, 31.1% in 2021 and 28.5% in 2022 respectively. The CAGR grew 31.7% between 2017 and 2022 while the offline saw a negative growth −5.1%.

The online café/bars increased from 16.9% in 2019 to 30.2% in 2020, 25.7% in 2021 and 25.9% respectively. The CAGR grew 16.8% between 2017 and 2022 while the offline saw a negative growth −3.4%.

The online full-service restaurants increased from 6.2% in 2019 to 24.8% in 2020, 27.8% in 2021 and 23.2% respectively. The CAGR grew 35.9% between 2017 and 2022 while the offline saw a negative growth −4.2%.

The online limited service increased from 12.3% in 2019 to both 35.8% in 2020, 34.9% in 2021, and 33.8% in 2022 respectively. The CAGR grew 32.1% between 2017 and 2022 while the offline saw a negative growth −6.3%.

The online street stalls/kiosks increased from 0.1% in 2019 to 0.4% in 2020, 3.1% in 2021 and 3.2% respectively. The offline saw a negative growth −0.6% from 2017 to 2022.

Online vs offline ordering breakdown %, 2017 to 2022

Category

Type

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

CAGR* % 2017-2022

Consumer Foodservice by Type

Online

7.2

8.1

10.0

31.1

31.1

28.5

31.7

Offline

92.8

91.9

90.0

68.9

68.9

71.5

−5.1

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Cafés/Bars

Online

11.9

14.8

16.9

30.2

25.7

25.9

16.8

Offline

88.2

85.2

83.1

69.8

74.3

74.1

−3.4

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Full-Service Restaurants

Online

5.0

5.5

6.2

24.8

27.8

23.2

35.9

Offline

95.0

94.5

93.8

75.2

72.2

76.8

−4.2

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Limited-Service Restaurants

Online

8.4

9.2

12.3

35.8

34.9

33.8

32.1

Offline

91.7

90.8

87.7

64.2

65.1

66.2

−6.3

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Self-Service Cafeterias

Online

N/C

Offline

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Street Stalls/Kiosks

Online

0.1

0.4

3.1

3.2

N/C

Offline

100.0

100.0

99.9

99.6

96.9

96.8

−0.6

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

N/C: Not calculable

It is projected that Full-Service Restaurants online, Limited-Service Restaurants online, Cafés/Bars online and Street Stalls/Kiosks online will continue to grow steadily from 2022 to 2027.

Online vs offline ordering breakdown %, 2022 to 2027

Category

Type

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

CAGR* % 2022-2027

Consumer Foodservice by Type

Online

28.5

28.5

28.6

28.7

28.7

28.8

0.2

Offline

71.5

71.5

71.4

71.3

71.3

71.2

−0.1

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Cafés/Bars

Online

25.9

26.7

26.8

26.8

26.9

26.9

0.8

Offline

74.1

73.3

73.2

73.2

73.1

73.1

−0.3

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Full-Service Restaurants

Online

23.2

23.0

23.2

23.3

23.4

23.4

0.2

Offline

76.8

77.0

76.8

76.7

76.6

76.6

−0.1

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Limited-Service Restaurants

Online

33.8

33.8

33.9

34.0

34.1

34.1

0.2

Offline

66.2

66.2

66.1

66.0

65.9

65.9

−0.1

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Self-Service Cafeterias

Online

N/C

Offline

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Street Stalls/Kiosks

Online

3.2

3.5

3.6

3.7

3.7

3.7

2.9

Offline

96.8

96.5

96.4

96.3

96.3

96.3

−0.1

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

N/C: Not calculable

Eat-in vs delivery and to-go sales

The consumer service home delivery became very popular after the pandemic started. It increased from 27.0% in 2019 to both 44.3% in 2020 and 41.7% in 2021, and 38.1% in 2022 respectively. Its CAGR grew 6.9% between 2017 and 2022 while the eat-in saw a negative growth −13.2%. However takeaway grew at a CAGR of 24.7% from 2017 to 2022, even higher that the home delivery.

The cafés/bars home delivery increased from 33.4% in 2019 to 60.5% in 2020, 40.3%% in 2021 and 34.5% in 2022 respectively. Its CAGR grew 0.7% between 2017 and 2022 while the eat-in saw a negative growth −4.3% and the drive-through grew at a CAGR of 33.9%.

The full-service restaurants home delivery increased from 19.8% in 2019 to 38.6% in 2020, 39.0% in 2021 and 35.8% in 2022 respectively. Its CAGR grew 11.9% between 2017 and 2022 while the eat-in saw a negative growth −12.5%. However takeaway grew a CAGR of 38.4% from 2017 to 2022.

The limited service restaurant home delivery increased from 29.9% in 2019 to 45.0% in 2020, 42.9% in 2021 and 39.2% in 2022 respectively. Its CAGR grew 5.4% between 2017 and 2022 while the eat-in saw a negative growth −17.5%. However takeaway grew at a CAGR of 13.9% from 2017 to 2022.

The self-service cafeterias saw its takeaway increase growth at a CAGR of 7.1% while eat-in saw a negative growth of −7.1%.

Eat-in vs delivery and to-go sales, breakdown %, 2017-2022

Category

Type

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

CAGR* % 2017-2022

Consumer Foodservice

Eat-in

53.3

53.2

52.4

13.6

18.0

26.3

−13.2

Home Delivery

27.3

27.1

27.0

44.3

41.7

38.1

6.9

Takeaway

6.1

6.5

7.4

22.2

20.7

18.4

24.7

Drive-through

13.3

13.2

13.2

19.8

19.6

17.1

5.2

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Cafés/Bars

Eat-in

64.0

63.9

63.7

30.5

49.8

51.5

−4.3

Home Delivery

33.3

33.4

33.4

60.5

40.3

34.5

0.7

Takeaway

0.0

0.2

2.2

2.5

2.4

N/C

Drive-through

2.7

2.7

2.7

6.8

7.4

11.6

33.9

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Full-Service Restaurants

Eat-in

74.5

74.4

73.3

27.6

32.2

38.3

−12.5

Home Delivery

20.4

20.0

19.8

38.6

39.0

35.8

11.9

Takeaway

5.1

5.6

6.8

33.8

28.8

25.9

38.4

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Limited-Service Restaurants

Eat-in

35.4

34.9

34.3

2.7

3.8

13.5

−17.5

Home Delivery

30.1

29.9

29.9

45.0

42.6

39.2

5.4

Takeaway

8.2

8.7

9.4

18.3

18.1

15.7

13.9

Drive-through

26.4

26.4

26.5

34.0

35.5

31.6

3.7

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Self-Service Cafeterias

Eat-in

57.1

57.2

57.4

42.0

31.4

39.5

−7.1

Takeaway

42.9

42.8

42.6

58.0

68.6

60.5

7.1

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Street Stalls/Kiosks

Takeaway

100.0

100.0

99.9

99.6

99.7

99.8

0.0

Home Delivery

0.1

0.4

0.3

0.2

N/C

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

N/C: Not calculable

Eat-In vs Delivery and To-Go Sales, breakdown %, 2022 to 2027

Category

Type

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

CAGR* % 2022-2027

Consumer Foodservice

Eat-in

26.3

29.6

31.1

31.8

31.9

31.8

3.9

Home Delivery

38.1

35.9

35.0

34.7

34.6

34.6

−1.9

Takeaway

18.4

17.9

17.8

17.7

17.8

17.9

−0.5

Drive-through

17.1

16.6

16.1

15.8

15.7

15.7

−1.7

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Cafés/Bars

Eat-in

51.5

52.5

53.8

54.3

54.5

54.8

1.2

Home Delivery

34.5

35.0

35.5

35.9

36.0

35.2

0.4

Takeaway

2.4

2.7

3.0

3.0

3.1

3.2

5.9

Drive-through

11.6

9.8

7.7

6.8

6.4

6.8

−10.1

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Full-Service Restaurants

Eat-in

38.3

43.3

44.2

44.9

44.9

44.7

3.1

Home Delivery

35.8

32.5

31.4

30.8

30.6

30.6

−3.1

Takeaway

25.9

24.2

24.4

24.3

24.5

24.7

−0.9

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Limited-Service Restaurants

Eat-in

13.5

15.6

17.5

18.0

18.1

18.0

5.9

Home Delivery

39.2

37.5

36.5

36.4

36.3

36.5

−1.4

Takeaway

15.7

16.0

15.6

15.5

15.4

15.4

−0.4

Drive-through

31.6

30.9

30.4

30.2

30.1

30.0

−1.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Self-Service Cafeterias

Eat-in

39.5

45.3

49.8

53.2

56.9

58.5

8.2

Takeaway

60.5

54.7

50.2

46.8

43.1

41.5

−7.3

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Street Stalls/Kiosks

Takeaway

99.8

99.8

99.8

99.8

99.8

99.8

0.0

Home Delivery

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

0.0

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Consumer foodservice by location

Consumer foodservice by location decreased to Can$$47,635.1million in 2020, Can$56,265.1 million in 2021 respectively, but rebounded to Can$65,901.8 million in 2022, compared with Can$64,722.7 million in 2019.

Consumer foodservice through standalone decreased to Can$39,584.7 million in 2020, Can$44,393.2 million in 2021 respectively but, rebounded to Can$49,940.9 million in 2022, compared with Can$46,645.6 million in 2019.

Consumer service through retail decreased to Can$1,976.9 million in 2020, Can$3,319.6 million in 2021 and Can$4,547.2 million in 2022 respectively compared with US$4,614.7 million in 2019. Consumer foodservice through travel decreased to Can$2,524.7 million in 2020, Can$3,263.4 million in 2021 and US$4,151.8 million in 2022 respectively compared with US$4,918.9 million in 2019. Consumer foodservice through leisure decreased to Can$1,405.2 million in 2020, Can$2,138.1 million in 2021, but rebounded to Can$2,636.1 million compared with Can$2,588.9 million in 2019. Consumer foodservice through lodging decreased to Can$2,143.6 million in 2020, Can$3,150.8 million in 2021 and Can$4,625.8 million in 2022 compared with Can$5,954.5 million in 2019.

Consumer Foodservice by Location in Can$ million 2017 to 2022

Category

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

CAGR* % 2017-2022

Consumer Foodservice by Location

61,337.6

63,126.3

64,722.7

47,635.1

56,265.1

65,901.8

1.4

Consumer Foodservice Through Standalone

44,174.2

45,463.6

46,645.6

39,584.7

44,393.2

49,940.9

2.5

Consumer Foodservice Through retail

4,367.2

4,494.6

4,614.7

1,976.9

3,319.6

4,547.2

0.8

Consumer Foodservice Through travel

4,642.3

4,791.3

4,918.9

2,524.7

3,263.4

4,151.8

−2.2

Consumer Foodservice Through Leisure

2,453.6

2,506.1

2,588.9

1,405.2

2,138.1

2,636.1

1.4

Consumer Foodservice Through lodging

5,700.2

5,870.7

5,954.5

2,143.6

3,150.8

4,625.8

−4.1

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Consumer Foodservice by Location in Can$ million 2022 to 2027

Category

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

CAGR* % 2022-2027

Consumer Foodservice by Location

65,901.8

69,071.9

72,187.2

74,989.1

77,578.0

79,900.7

3.9

Consumer Foodservice Through Standalone

49,940.9

51,645.4

53,408.6

55,261.4

57,049.3

58,696.2

3.3

Consumer Foodservice Through retail

4,547.2

4,904.1

5,298.5

5,549.2

5,756.3

5,936.6

5.5

Consumer Foodservice Through travel

4,151.8

4,524.2

4,836.5

5,099.3

5,306.3

5,481.2

5.7

Consumer Foodservice Through Leisure

2,636.1

2,866.5

3,068.0

3,209.5

3,335.9

3,443.7

5.5

Consumer Foodservice Through lodging

4,625.8

5,131.6

5,575.6

5,869.7

6,130.2

6,343.0

6.5

Source: Euromonitor 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

For more information

The Canadian Trade Commissioner Service:

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Resources

  • Euromonitor, 2023
  • Euromonitor February 2023:
    • Country report: Full-service restaurants in Canada
    • Country report: Limited-service restaurants in Canada
    • Country report: Cafes / bars in Canada
    • Country report: Self-service restaurants in Canada
    • Country report: Street stalls / kiosks in Canada
  • World Bank 2022

Foodservice – Canada
Global Analysis Report

Prepared by: Hongli Wang, Market Analyst

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