The Canadian Crop Metrics application allows users to look at specific regions and generate reports, graphs and tables to compare current conditions to historical conditions for 11 different crop types. Weather data is updated regularly and yield estimates are updated monthly from July to October.
Example of application output - Overall yield outlook for spring wheat
The overall outlook for each crop shows the current year’s forecasted yield relative to the 5-year average.
Description of the image above.
Snapshot of the Canadian Crop Metrics application result showing the overall yield outlook for Prairie spring wheat, ranging from below average to favourable condition.
About the Canadian Crop Metrics application
The application allows users to examine in-season weather, satellite-based and risk data impacting crop yields in Canada alongside historical and forecasted crop yields. Forecasted yield comes from the Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster, which models yields of major crops in Canada from a statistical model trained on historical yield from Statistics Canada. Forecasts are made at the beginning of the months of July, August and September for all crops and an additional forecast is made for corn and soybeans (late season crops) at the beginning of October. Forecasts are jointly produced by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada and Statistics Canada using historical yield, climate and satellite data as inputs. Yield forecasts are first made at the Census Agricultural Region, Census Division (Saskatchewan only) or the consolidated crop reporting unit from Statistics Canada, then aggregated to the province and national levels. Production numbers are arrived at by weighting the modelled crop yield forecast against Statistics Canada’s estimates of the harvest area from the June or July survey whenever it is available. For regions where model based estimates were not available because of insufficient input data to build and train the model, mean values of the previous five years of farm survey data are used.
- For more information on the science behind this model: Evaluation of the Integrated Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster model for in-season prediction of crop yield across the Canadian agricultural landscape. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 206, 137-150 (Chipanshi, A., Zhang, Y., Kouadio, L., Newlands, N., Davidson, A., Hill, H., Warren, R., Qian, B., Daneshfar, B., Bedard, F., & Reichert, G.) (2015).
- For official estimates of crop yield and production: Statistics Canada - Estimated areas, yield, production, average farm price and total farm value of principal field crops, in metric and imperial units