This report is an update of Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada’s (AAFC) November outlook report for the 2024-25 crop year, based on information available up to December 11, 2024. For most crops in Canada, the crop ear starts on August 1 and ends on July 31, although for corn and soybeans, the crop year starts on September 1 and ends on August 31. Uncertainty in Canadian and international grain markets remains elevated due to ongoing geopolitical risks and increasing uncertainty around trade.
For 2024-25, the outlook incorporates the results of Statistics Canada’s (STC) November Farm Survey of crop production, which was released on December 5, 2024, and was based on a survey of approximately 27,200 Canadian farms, conducted from October 4 to November 7, 2024. These are the last official estimates for crop production from STC for 2024 and replace the model-based estimates that were released on September 16, 2024. The estimate for total principal field crop production increased by 1.2% from the previous model-based estimate released in September. Production of all principal field crops is now estimated to have increased 2.7% year-over-year (y/y), which would be 3.3% above the previous five-year average. The increase was largely due to improved yields in Western Canada, as overall production in this region increased 3.3% y/y and was 2.5% higher than the five-year average.
By major crop commodity groups, wheat production increased by 6.1% y/y, largely due to a 43.6% increase in durum output. Production of oilseeds declined 2.9% y/y, driven lower by a 7% decline in canola due to a reduction in yields as area was relatively stable. This more than offsets an 8.4% increase in soybean production. Coarse grains production decreased marginally by 0.2% y/y, as declines in corn and barley production managed to just offset increases in oats and rye production. Pulse and special crops production is up significantly by 24.3% y/y as higher production for all pulse and special crops (other than sunflower seeds) is expected on improved yields and an increase in areas.
Exports of all principal field crops are expected to rise 5% from last year, with notable increases projected for durum, canola, and lentils. Carry-out stocks (ending-year inventories) for all principal field crops are forecast to decline by 3% as lower carry-out stocks for grains and oilseeds more than offset a rise in pulse and special crops carry-out. Prices for all principal field crops are significantly lower year-over-year, with the exception of sunflower seed.
The next AAFC Outlook for Principal Field Crops is scheduled to be released on January 20, 2025. STC is scheduled to publish stocks of principal field crops as of December 31 on February 7, 2025, and a first estimate of the area of principal field crops for 2025 on March 12, 2025.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Total Grains And Oilseeds note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 27,668 | 28,273 | 27,831 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 26,827 | 27,279 | 27,001 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 3.40 | 3.18 | 3.26 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 91,148 | 86,871 | 88,048 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Total Grains And Oilseeds note b | 2,986 | 3,639 | 3,107 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 103,861 | 102,299 | 102,926 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Total Grains And Oilseeds note c | 47,539 | 44,735 | 46,792 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Total Grains And Oilseeds note e | 44,532 | 45,793 | 46,449 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 11,790 | 11,772 | 9,685 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Total Pulses and Special Crops note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 3,707 | 3,376 | 3,749 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 3,649 | 3,309 | 3,712 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 1.81 | 1.60 | 1.77 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 6,618 | 5,284 | 6,568 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Total Pulses and Special Crops note b | 284 | 379 | 309 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 7,971 | 6,844 | 7,698 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Total Pulses and Special Crops note b | 5,620 | 4,903 | 5,335 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Total Pulses and Special Crops note c | 1,170 | 1,120 | 1,148 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 1,182 | 821 | 1,215 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025All Principal Field Crops note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 31,376 | 31,649 | 31,580 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 30,476 | 30,588 | 30,712 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 3.21 | 3.01 | 3.08 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 97,766 | 92,155 | 94,616 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)All Principal Field Crops note b | 3,270 | 4,018 | 3,416 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 111,832 | 109,144 | 110,624 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)All Principal Field Crops note b | 53,159 | 49,638 | 52,127 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)All Principal Field Crops note c | 45,702 | 46,913 | 47,597 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 12,971 | 12,593 | 10,900 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Wheat
Durum
For 2024-25, Statistics Canada (STC) estimated durum production at 5.9 million tonnes (Mt) in their December 5th report, representing a 3% decrease from their September estimate. Canadian production is now 44% more than the 2023 harvest, 20% above average and the sixth largest on record. The two largest producing provinces were Saskatchewan and Alberta, who accounted for 76% and 22% of total production. Total supply is now forecast at 6.3 Mt, 35% higher compared to 2023-24, and 8% more than the last five-year average.
The average quality in terms of grades is below last year’s level but above the last five-year average. According to the Canadian Grain Commission’s (CGC) sample survey analysis up to December 2, 2024, 72% of the durum was graded No. 1 and 2 compared to 82% last year. In total, the CGC collected 895 samples from farmers across the Prairies. The protein content of all samples averaged 15.3%.
Compared to last month’s report, exports remain pegged at 4.9 Mt. From August to October, STC reported durum shipments at 0.53 Mt, 39% more than in 2023-24, and 7% above average; the CGC put durum shipments through the licensed elevator system at 1.50 Mt from August 1st to November 30th.
Although domestic use and stocks were reduced as a result of lower supply, they still remain above 2023-24 levels and above the five-year average. Domestic use is forecast at 0.75 Mt, and closing stocks are 0.65 Mt.
World durum production grew by 12% over 2023-24 due to an increase in seeded area and higher yields, especially in North America, and to a lesser extent in Turkey and Russia. Total supply is seen at 41 Mt, 4% more than the previous year. Total use is forecast to grow 2% to 34.7 Mt on higher food use. Carry-out stocks are projected at 6.2 Mt, 13% more than opening levels. Global durum trade is projected to drop to 9.5 Mt this year, just 1% lower than in 2023-24 with a reduction in Algerian imports.
In the US, durum production grew by 0.6 Mt, to 2.2 Mt, according to the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). US exports of durum are forecast at 0.68 Mt.
The forecasted average 2024-25 Saskatchewan (SK) spot price for No. 1 Canadian Western Amber Durum remains unchanged at $325/tonne (t). Factors to watch moving forward include the pace of exports through the licensed elevator system, competition from the United States, and import demand from Europe and Algeria.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Durum note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 2,431 | 2,442 | 2,576 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 2,400 | 2,375 | 2,565 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 2.41 | 1.72 | 2.29 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 5,790 | 4,087 | 5,870 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Durum note b | 1 | 5 | 25 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 6,378 | 4,666 | 6,302 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Durum note c | 5,059 | 3,558 | 4,900 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes) Durum note d | 194 | 192 | 200 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 317 | 263 | 324 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Durum note e | 745 | 701 | 752 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 574 | 407 | 650 |
| Average Price ($/tonne) Durum note g | 445 | 425 | 325 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Wheat (excluding durum)
For 2024-25, Canadian wheat production rose by 1% from 2023-24 to 29.1 Mt, due to an increase in area and above-average yields. This is the second largest crop on record after the record crop in 2013. Compared to last month’s report, total supply grew 3% to 33.4 Mt. STC’s most recent production estimate is 3% larger than in its September report. Saskatchewan accounts for 41% of Canada’s wheat production, Alberta 30%, Manitoba 19%, Ontario 9%, and Quebec 1%; the remaining 1% is found in the Maritimes and British Columbia.
STC estimates that winter wheat seeded this fall came in at 682.8 thousand hectares (Kha), up 15% relative to last fall due to an expansion in the area seeded to winter wheat in Ontario (+70.7 kha), Saskatchewan (+11.4 kha), Quebec (+5.2 kha) and Alberta (4.7 kha).
The average quality for Canada Western Red Spring (CWRS) wheat in terms of grades is slightly lower than last year, but better than the past five-year average. According to the CGC’s sample survey analysis up to December 2, 2024, 93% of the CWRS wheat graded No. 1 and 2, compared to 97% last year. The protein content of the total 2,620 samples averaged 14%.
With Canadian consumption of wheat relatively stable year-on-year, domestic use is forecast at 8.3 Mt, about a quarter of available supply. The forecast for exports is raised to 21.25 Mt due to the strong demand for high quality wheat worldwide.
According to STC, exports of wheat, from August to October are reported at just under 5.0 Mt, 8% less than in 2023-24, but 7% above the last five-year average. The CGC reports of international shipments of wheat through the licensed elevator system are at 6.9 Mt from August to November, in line with last year’s level over the same period. Closing stocks remain pegged at 3.8 Mt.
This month, the USDA, in their influential World Agricultural Supply and Demands Estimate (WASDE) report, lowered their estimates for global wheat supply, consumption, and trade. Compared to November’s projections, the 2024-25 global wheat supply is reduced by 0.6 to 1,060.4 Mt, with lower production in the EU and Brazil. Total consumption is reduced by 0.94 Mt to 802.5 Mt, and trade is 1 Mt lower to 213.7 Mt with reduced shipments from Russia. Global ending stocks for wheat are pegged at 257.9 Mt, the lowest since 2015-16.
The US wheat supply forecast for 2024-25 expanded marginally to 76.0 Mt, with exports projected at 23.1 Mt, domestic use at 31.2 Mt, and ending stocks at 21.6 Mt, up 14% year-on-year (y/y).
The average Saskatchewan spot price for CWRS 1, 13.5% protein remains forecast at $310/t, with continued attention on the pace of Canadian deliveries, quality of the crop in the southern hemisphere, and impact of Russia’s reduced export quota on wheat trade.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Wheat except durum note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 7,844 | 8,505 | 8,259 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 7,696 | 8,324 | 8,083 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 3.77 | 3.47 | 3.60 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 29,016 | 28,859 | 29,088 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes) Wheat except Durum note b | 64 | 88 | 100 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 32,663 | 33,997 | 33,396 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Wheat except Durum note c | 20,476 | 21,776 | 21,250 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes)Wheat except Durum note d | 3,258 | 3,250 | 3,200 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 3,005 | 3,919 | 4,419 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes) Wheat except Durum note e | 7,135 | 8,014 | 8,346 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 5,051 | 4,208 | 3,800 |
| Average Price ($/tonne) Wheat except Durum note g | 401 | 316 | 310 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025All wheat note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 10,274 | 10,947 | 10,835 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 10,096 | 10,700 | 10,648 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 3.45 | 3.08 | 3.28 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 34,807 | 32,946 | 34,958 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes) All wheat note b | 65 | 92 | 125 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 39,041 | 38,664 | 39,699 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)All wheat note c | 25,536 | 25,334 | 26,150 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes)All wheat note d | 3,452 | 3,442 | 3,400 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 3,323 | 4,181 | 4,743 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes) All wheat note e | 7,880 | 8,715 | 9,099 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 5,625 | 4,615 | 4,450 |
Source: Statistics Canada |
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Coarse grains
Barley
For 2024-25, Canadian barley production is estimated at 8.144 million tonnes (Mt) by Statistics Canada (STC) in its December survey-based yield and production estimate report. The December estimate is more than half a million tonnes or 7% higher from the September model-based result, due to lower abandonment rates and higher yield estimates. Nevertheless, a significant year-on-year (y/y) decline in barley production was observed in the Canadian Prairie provinces, primarily due to a reduction of area planted in the region and that Alberta, the largest barley growing province in Canada, experienced the lowest yield since 2012 (excluding 2021 when an unprecedented drought on the Canadian Prairies severely impacted crop development). As a result, 2024 Canadian barley production is down 9% from last year, and down 13% from the five-year average. Alberta remains the largest barley-growing province, accounting for 52% of total barley production in Canada, with 37% in Saskatchewan, 6% in Manitoba and the remainder in other provinces
Due to the annual decline in production that is only partly offset by a significant increase in carry-in stocks, total supply for 2024-25, at 9.4 Mt, is down 3% y/y and 9% below average. Total domestic use is projected to rise from last year, despite smaller supplies. Exports are projected to fall, limited by smaller supplies. Carry-out stocks are forecast at 0.8 Mt, down 31% y/y to reflect smaller supplies.
The 2024-25 Lethbridge average price is projected at $290/tonne (t), the lowest in 5 years, due to pressure from price weakness in other crops.
Internationally, the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) put the 2024-25 world barley supply estimate at 190 Mt in its December supply and demand update. This is down 3% y/y and 7% below the five-year average, also the lowest in 6 years. World feed use is projected to rise y/y, with food and industrial use to fall marginally. World ending stocks are projected at 18 Mt, down sharply from last year, and the five-year average to an all-time low.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Barley note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 2,851 | 2,967 | 2,592 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 2,636 | 2,703 | 2,394 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 3.79 | 3.29 | 3.40 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 9,987 | 8,905 | 8,144 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Barley note b | 26 | 118 | 100 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 10,556 | 9,731 | 9,395 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Barley note c | 3,890 | 3,064 | 2,890 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes) Barley note d | 106 | 89 | 319 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 5,598 | 5,205 | 5,155 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Barley note e | 5,957 | 5,515 | 5,705 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 709 | 1,152 | 800 |
| Average Price ($/tonne) Barley note g | 417 | 314 | 290 |
Source: Statistics Canada |
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Corn
For 2024-25, Canadian corn production is estimated by STC at 15.345 Mt, up 1% from the September forecast, and up 7% from the five-year average. This is primarily supported by good yield results for this season in major corn-growing provinces, including Ontario, Quebec, and Manitoba. National production for 2024 is only slightly below last year’s record high, despite reduced acreage.
With the slightly smaller production, larger carry-in stocks, and lower imports, Canadian corn supply for 2024-25 is at 19.6 Mt, down slightly y/y, but remains above average. Total demand is projected at 17.6 Mt, down slightly from last year, primarily due to smaller domestic industrial and feed use, while exports are projected to rise y/y. Carry-out stocks are forecast at 2.0 Mt, nearing last year’s level.
The 2024-25 Chatham average price is projected at $210/t, the lowest in 5 years, mostly due to lower US corn prices.
For the US, the USDA significantly lowered its 2024-25 US corn ending stock forecast on rising demand for ethanol production and exports. So far, the 2024-25 ending stocks are, at 44 Mt, down slightly y/y, but remain 12% above average. The weighted average price forecast to be received by US farmers for the marketing year is unchanged from November and is pegged at slightly above US$160/t, the lowest in 5 years.
Internationally, the USDA pegged world corn supply for 2024-25 at 1,718 Mt, down 1% y/y but the second largest on record. Argentina and Brazil will see a y/y increase in their corn supply for 2024-25, while the EU and the Black Sea region will experience a significant decrease. Despite the expected sharp reduction in imports, China's corn supplies for 2024-25 are estimated at a historical high on expanded production. World feed use will rise to an all-time high, with food and industrial use remaining steady. World ending stocks, at 296 Mt, were lowered noticeably from the November forecast and are 6% lower from 2023-24 and 4% below the five-year average.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Corn note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 1,466 | 1,548 | 1,478 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 1,444 | 1,519 | 1,449 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 10.00 | 10.15 | 10.59 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 14,539 | 15,421 | 15,345 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes) Corn note b | 2,227 | 2,788 | 2,300 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 19,512 | 19,837 | 19,641 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Corn note c | 2,861 | 1,969 | 2,100 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes)Corn note d | 5,327 | 5,999 | 5,550 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 9,681 | 9,857 | 9,975 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Corn note e | 15,024 | 15,872 | 15,541 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 1,628 | 1,996 | 2,000 |
| Average Price ($/tonne)Corn note g | 300 | 211 | 210 |
Source: Statistics Canada |
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Oats
For 2024-25, Canadian oat production is estimated by STC at 3.358 Mt. This is a 11% increase from the September forecast, due to lower abandonment rates and higher yield estimates. This, along with the expansion in seeded area, brings 2024 oat production up 27% from last year but 14% below the five-year average. Saskatchewan remains the largest oat-growing province, accounting for 44% of total oat production in Canada for this season, with 28% in Manitoba, 19% in Alberta, and the remainder in other provinces.
The estimated annual increase in production is completely offset by significantly smaller carry-in stocks, leading to a tighter supply for 2024-25. At 3.8 Mt, the 2024-25 oat supply is down 3% y/y and 16% below average, also the lowest since 2012-13, excluding 2021-22. Total domestic use is expected to rise, and exports are predicted to fall. Carry-out stocks are forecast at a tight level of 0.4 Mt, down 10% y/y and 36% below the average.
The 2024-25 Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) oat price is projected at $330/t, the lowest in 4 years, due to pressure from price weakness in other crops.
Internationally, the USDA put world oat supply for 2024-25 at 27 Mt, up 7% from the record low in 2023-24, but 5% below the five-year average. Australia and the EU will see a y/y increase in oat supplies. The US will also have a larger oat supply in 2024-25, despite imports remaining steady y/y and nearing a record low. World feed use, as well as food and industrial use, are projected to rise y/y. World ending stocks are projected at 2.5 Mt, up 4% y/y but 10% below the five-year average.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Oats note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 1,593 | 1,026 | 1,174 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 1,402 | 826 | 993 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 3.73 | 3.20 | 3.38 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 5,227 | 2,643 | 3,358 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Oats note b | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 5,584 | 3,933 | 3,820 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Oats note c | 2,670 | 2,377 | 2,230 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes)Oats note d | 90 | 79 | 90 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 1,462 | 937 | 996 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Oats note e | 1,639 | 1,114 | 1,190 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 1,275 | 442 | 400 |
| Average Price ($/tonne)Oats note g | 353 | 354 | 330 |
Source: Statistics Canada |
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Rye
For 2024-25, Canadian rye production is estimated by STC at 421 thousand tonnes (Kt). It is 21% above the September forecast, largely due to higher yield estimates. Compared to last year, it is up by 18% and in line with the five-year average. Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Alberta, Ontario, and Quebec remain the major rye-growing provinces.
STC also released its estimates for fall rye area seeded. Fall rye represents the majority of total rye production in Canada, with spring rye accounting for only a fraction. A significant y/y expansion in fall rye area was observed in all major rye-growing provinces. Totaled at 282 thousand hectares (Kha), rye area seeded this fall is up 57% from last fall, 40% higher from the previous five-year average, which is also an all-time high.
With the increase in production more than offsetting the decline in carry-in stocks, total rye supply for 2024-25, estimated at 513 Kt, is up 10% y/y and 5% above average. Total domestic use, primarily feed use, is expected to increase due to larger supplies, while exports are anticipated to decrease. Carry-out stocks are projected at 95 Kt, up slightly from last year, and 16% above average.
The 2024-25 rye average price on the Canadian Prairies is projected at $200/t, down y/y, due to pressure from price weakness in other crops.
Internationally, the USDA put world rye supply for 2024-25 at 13 Mt, down 7% y/y and 8% below the five-year average, also the lowest in 6 years. Rye supply in the EU is estimated to decline by 5% from last year and the five-year average. The US will have the largest rye supply on an all-time high production, despite a significant decrease in expected imports. World feed use, as well as food and industrial use, are projected to fall y/y. World ending stocks are projected at 1.4 Kt, falling sharply y/y but remaining close to the five-year average.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Rye note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 237 | 178 | 183 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 152 | 116 | 117 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 3.42 | 3.09 | 3.60 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 520 | 358 | 421 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Rye note b | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 606 | 466 | 513 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Rye note c | 199 | 198 | 172 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes)Rye note d | 42 | 30 | 35 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 244 | 132 | 186 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Rye note e | 303 | 177 | 247 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 105 | 91 | 95 |
| Average Price ($/tonne)Rye note g | 287 | 217 | 200 |
Source: Statistics Canada |
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| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Mixed grains note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 138 | 145 | 149 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 72 | 60 | 62 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 2.82 | 2.53 | 2.46 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 203 | 153 | 152 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Mixed grains note b | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 203 | 153 | 152 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Mixed grains note c | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes)Mixed grains note d | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 203 | 153 | 152 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Mixed grains note e | 203 | 153 | 152 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Total coarse grains note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area Seeded | 6,286 | 5,863 | 5,575 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 5,705 | 5,223 | 5,015 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 5.34 | 5.26 | 5.47 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 30,475 | 27,480 | 27,419 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Total coarse grains note b | 2,280 | 2,924 | 2,422 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 36,460 | 34,120 | 33,522 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Total coarse grains note c | 9,619 | 7,608 | 7,392 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes)Total coarse grains note d | 5,564 | 6,196 | 5,994 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 17,187 | 16,284 | 16,465 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Total coarse grains note e | 23,125 | 22,831 | 22,835 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 3,716 | 3,681 | 3,295 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Oilseeds
Canola
For 2024-25, canola area decreased slightly to 8.9 million hectares (Mha) with harvested area estimated at 8.8 Mha. The crop was mostly grown in western Canada with Saskatchewan accounting for 55% of the canola area in Canada, followed by Alberta and Manitoba at 29% and 14% of total area, respectively.
Canola production is estimated at 17.8 million tonnes (Mt) compared to 19.2 Mt for 2023-24 and the five-year average of 17.9 Mt. Lower yields across western Canada due to the hot and dry summer accounted for most of the decrease in output year-on-year. Production by province was: Saskatchewan 9.8 Mt, Alberta 5.1 Mt, Manitoba 2.8 Mt, while British Columbia and Eastern Canada grew 71 thousand tonnes (Kt) and 99.7 Kt, respectively. Supplies are forecast to fall from last year to 20.7 Mt as higher carry-in moderates the impact of lower production.
Statistics Canada reports 2.88 Mt of canola was crushed to October 30th, producing 1.22 Mt of canola oil and 1.69 Mt of canola meal, for an oil and meal content of 42.2%, and 58.7%, respectively.
Domestic crush is forecast at a record 11.5 Mt as expanded processing capacity comes on stream. The export projection for canola seed remains unchanged from last month at 7.5 Mt with the impact of the China’s announced anti-dumping investigation on Canadian canola remaining unknown at this time. Carry-out is forecast to fall to 1.25 Mt, below 2023-24 and the five-year average of 1.82 Mt. The simple average price, No.1 track Vancouver is forecast notably lower from last year at $615/tonne (t).
Factors to observe are: (i) strength of Chinese buying, (ii) farmer delivery pace, (iii) crush pace, (iv) possible tariff and non-tariff barriers to trade for seed, oil, and meal (v) size of Brazil and Argentina soybean crops.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Canola note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 8,659 | 8,938 | 8,908 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 8,596 | 8,857 | 8,846 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 2.19 | 2.17 | 2.02 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 18,850 | 19,192 | 17,845 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Canola note b | 151 | 276 | 100 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 20,485 | 21,325 | 20,692 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Canola note c | 7,950 | 6,683 | 7,500 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes)Canola note d | 9,961 | 11,033 | 11,500 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 651 | 797 | 391 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Canola note e | 10,678 | 11,894 | 11,942 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 1,858 | 2,748 | 1,250 |
| Average Price ($/tonne)Canola note g | 857 | 715 | 615 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Flaxseed
For 2024-25, flaxseed seeded area decreased by 17% from last year to 0.20 Mha with an estimated harvested area of 0.20 Mha. Production was 258 thousand tonnes (Kt), down slightly from last year, with the decrease in seeded area partly offset by higher yields. Supplies are projected to fall sharply to 432 Kt on lower carry-in and production.
Total domestic use is forecast to fall to 92 Kt, while exports are estimated at 250 Kt, an increase from last year. Carry-out stocks fall to 90 Kt for a stocks-to-use ratio of 26%. The simple average price forecast for flaxseed No.1 in-store Saskatoon cash is $565/t, down from last year’s $581/t and less than the five-year average of $727/t.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Flaxseed (excluding solin) note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 315 | 247 | 204 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 312 | 239 | 201 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 1.52 | 1.14 | 1.28 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 473 | 273 | 258 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Flaxseed (excluding solin) note b | 6 | 10 | 10 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 561 | 502 | 432 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Flaxseed (excluding solin) note c | 214 | 211 | 250 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes)Flaxseed (excluding solin) note d | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 117 | 117 | 73 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Flaxseed note e | 128 | 127 | 92 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 220 | 164 | 90 |
| Average Price ($/tonne)Flaxseed (excluding solin) note g | 635 | 581 | 565 |
N/A: not available Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Soybeans
For 2024-25, soybean area in Canada increased slightly to 2.31 Mha, as support from steady crusher and export buying, lower corn prices, and good soil moisture offset lower prices. The major growing provinces were: Ontario at 1.26 Mha, Manitoba at 0.58 Mha and Quebec at 0.42 Mha. The Maritime provinces and the remaining western Canadian provinces grew 24.7 thousand hectares (Kha) and 27.6 Kha, respectively.
Production is estimated up from last year to 7.57 Mt on a combination of normal yields in Eastern Canada and sharply higher-than-normal Manitoba yields. Supplies rise to 8.58 Mt, the third highest on record, as higher carry-in complements the rise in ouptut.
Total domestic use is forecast to rise on higher processing and a slightly higher feed, waste, and dockage of 0.43 Mt. Domestic crush is optimistically projected at 1.85 Mt on steady food and fuel demand for soy-oil. Exports are forecast at 5.5 Mt, the second highest on record compared to the 2018-19 out-of-country shipments of 5.64 Mt. Carry-out is forecast up slightly to 0.60 Mt for a stocks-to-use ratio of 8%. The Canadian simple average price for soybeans, track Chatham, is projected $97/t lower from last year to $475/t, versus the five-year average of $595/t.
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) updated its World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) outlook for 2024-25 in December, leaving its prediction for a 7% rise in US soybean production, to 121.4 Mt, unchanged from November. Total supplies are up 10.1 Mt year-over-year (y/y) to 131.1 Mt. Domestic crush and exports are unchanged from November and are up 5% and 8% respectively from last year to 65.6 Mt and 49.7 Mt. Ending stocks are up 3.5 Mt from 2023-24 to 12.8 Mt, pressuring a US$81/t drop in the average farm price to US$375/t.
The USDA’s bearishness extended to the world oilseed market, with global oilseed production rising by 25.9 Mt year-over-year on higher soybean production. World oilseed supplies increased to 814.8 Mt versus 777.8 Mt for 2023-24, and total usage rose by 12.8 Mt to 558.2 Mt for 2024-25. World trade is likewise projected to rise to 207.3 Mt compared to 204.9 Mt for 2023-24. Ending stocks rose by 15.8 Mt to 147.2 Mt, for a stocks-to-use ratio of 26%, maintaining pressure on world prices.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Soybeans note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 2,135 | 2,279 | 2,311 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 2,118 | 2,261 | 2,290 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 3.09 | 3.09 | 3.31 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 6,543 | 6,981 | 7,568 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes) Soybeans note b | 483 | 336 | 450 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 7,313 | 7,688 | 8,581 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Soybeans note c | 4,220 | 4,899 | 5,500 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes)Soybeans note d | 1,768 | 1,652 | 1,850 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 718 | 333 | 431 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes) Soybeans note e | 2,722 | 2,227 | 2,481 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 372 | 563 | 600 |
| Average Price ($/tonne) Soybeans note g | 701 | 572 | 475 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Total Oilseeds note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 11,108 | 11,463 | 11,422 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 11,026 | 11,356 | 11,337 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 2.35 | 2.33 | 2.26 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 25,866 | 26,445 | 25,670 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Total Oilseeds note b | 641 | 622 | 560 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 28,360 | 29,516 | 29,706 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Total Oilseeds note c | 12,384 | 11,793 | 13,250 |
| Food and Industrial Use (thousand tonnes)Total Oilseeds note d | 11,729 | 12,685 | 13,350 |
| Feed, Waste & Dockage (thousand tonnes) | 1,486 | 1,248 | 896 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Total Oilseeds note e | 13,527 | 14,248 | 14,516 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 2,449 | 3,475 | 1,940 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Pulses and special crops
Dry peas
For 2024‑25, production increased 15% to 3.0 million tonnes (Mt) due to higher yields and harvested area. Yields were 8% higher than the previous year due to better conditions. Yellow and green pea types are expected to account for about 2.4 Mt and 0.45 Mt, respectively, with the remainder spread across other varieties. Supply has risen by only 2% to 3.36 Mt, due to smaller carry in stocks offsetting the larger output. Exports are forecast to be unchanged at 2.4 Mt, despite the rise in supply. As a result, carry out stocks are forecast to rise with the increased supply. The average price is expected to decrease by 8% to $425/tonne (t) from 2023-24, with lower dry pea prices for all types.
During November, the on farm price of yellow and green pea types in Saskatchewan rose by $5/t and $15/t, respectively. Prices have been steady with above average export demand and expectations for an average-sized Indian winter pulse crop. For the crop year-to date, green dry peas prices have been maintaining a premium of $175/t above yellow dry peas. Last year, green peas were at a $185/t premium to yellow peas.
In the US, area seeded to dry peas for 2024-25 is estimated by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) to have risen by 2% to 0.99 million acres (0.4 Mha). This is largely due to an increase in area in North Dakota. With estimates of above average yields, US dry pea production is estimated by the USDA to rise by 7% to 0.87 Mt. US dry peas compete, on a smaller scale, in Canadian export markets such as China and the Philippines.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Dry peas note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 1,363 | 1,233 | 1,300 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 1,348 | 1,200 | 1,281 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 2.54 | 2.17 | 2.34 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 3,423 | 2,609 | 2,997 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Dry peas note b | 35 | 127 | 60 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 3,797 | 3,286 | 3,357 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes) Dry peas note b | 2,564 | 2,401 | 2,400 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Dry peas note c | 684 | 586 | 632 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 550 | 299 | 325 |
| Stocks-to-Use Ratio | 17% | 10% | 11% |
| Average Price ($/tonne)Dry peas note d | 440 | 460 | 425 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Lentils
For 2024‑25, production increased by 35% to 2.4 Mt due to higher area and yields. Large green lentil production is estimated to be higher than last year at 0.45 Mt and red lentil production rose to about 1.7 Mt. Production of the other remaining lentil types is estimated to have risen to 0.25 Mt.
Supply is expected to be only 28% higher than last year due to smaller carry in stocks but higher imports. Exports are forecast to increase sharply to 2.1 Mt. India and Turkey are currently the top export markets. Imports are expected to be higher than the previous year despite an above-average grade distribution. Carry out stocks are expected to rise sharply, despite the larger exportable supply. The overall average price is forecast to fall by 12% to $885/t, with lower prices for all types, when compared to last year.
During the month of November, the on farm price in Saskatchewan for No. 1 grade large green and red lentils rose by about $20/t when compared to last month. The quality of the Canadian lentil crop is considered to be above average. There is a larger proportion in the supply of No. 1 and No. 2 grade Canadian lentils for 2024-25 when compared to last year. No. 1 large green lentil prices are forecast to maintain a premium of $525/t over No. 1 red lentil prices, compared to $785/t in 2023-24.
In the US, the area seeded to lentils for 2024-25 was forecast by the USDA at over 0.9 million acres (0.38 Mha), up 71% from 2023-24 due to higher area seeded in Montana. With estimates of below average yields, 2024-25 US lentil production is estimated by the USDA at 0.43 Mt, up 66% from the 2023-24 level.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Lentils note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 1,749 | 1,485 | 1,704 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 1,715 | 1,460 | 1,693 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 1.36 | 1.23 | 1.44 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 2,331 | 1,801 | 2,431 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Lentils note b | 87 | 92 | 100 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 2,642 | 2,104 | 2,696 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Lentils note b | 2,209 | 1,674 | 2,100 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Lentils note c | 222 | 265 | 246 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 211 | 165 | 350 |
| Stocks-to-Use Ratio | 9% | 9% | 15% |
| Average Price ($/tonne)Lentils note d | 820 | 1,000 | 885 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Dry Beans
For 2024‑25, production rose 25% to 424 thousand tonnes (Kt), consisting of 68 Kt of white pea bean types and 356 Kt of colored bean types. Production in Ontario was 134 Kt, up 9% from 2023, with higher area but lower yields. In Manitoba, production rose due to higher yields for colored bean and white pea bean types. In Alberta, colored bean production rose due to an increase in area and yields.
Supply is expected to rise with lower carry in stocks partly offsetting the larger production. Exports are forecast to be lower than the previous year. The US and the EU are expected to remain the main markets for Canadian dry beans, with smaller volumes exported to Mexico and Japan. Carry out stocks are expected to be higher. The average Canadian dry bean price is forecast to be lower at $1,100/t due to the higher North American supply.
In the US, area seeded to dry beans is estimated by the USDA to have increased by 30% to 1.53 million acres (0.62 Mha), largely due to higher area seeded in North Dakota. US total dry bean production (excluding chickpeas) is estimated by the USDA to rise by 23%, to just over 1.3 Mt. US export markets continue to be Canada, EU, and Mexico.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Dry beans note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 120 | 129 | 163 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 117 | 129 | 160 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 2.67 | 2.63 | 2.65 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 313 | 339 | 424 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes)Dry beans note b | 70 | 70 | 70 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 523 | 489 | 514 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes)Dry beans note b | 371 | 408 | 400 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes)Dry beans note c | 72 | 61 | 59 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 80 | 20 | 55 |
| Stocks-to-Use Ratio | 18% | 4% | 12% |
| Average Price ($/tonne)Dry beans note d | 1,165 | 1,215 | 1,100 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Chickpeas
For 2024‑25, production rose by 80% to 287 Kt due to higher harvested area and yields. Crop quality is above average when compared to the previous year. Supply is forecast to rise by 21% as lower carry in stocks partly offset the higher production. Exports are forecast to be lower at 175 Kt, with the US, Turkey, and the EU as the main importers. Carry out stocks are expected to rise sharply to 100 Kt. The average price for all grades of chickpeas is forecast to fall by 19%, to $815/t, due to higher world supply.
US chickpea area seeded is estimated by the USDA at 0.5 million acres (0.2 Mha), up 35% from 2023-24. With below average yields, 2024-25 US chickpea production is forecast by USDA at 0.28 Mt, up 30% from the previous year.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Chickpeas note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 95 | 128 | 194 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 95 | 127 | 194 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 1.54 | 1.25 | 1.48 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 146 | 159 | 287 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes) Chickpeas note b | 42 | 47 | 45 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 364 | 299 | 361 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes) Chickpeas note b | 198 | 183 | 175 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes) Chickpeas note c | 73 | 87 | 86 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 93 | 30 | 100 |
| Stocks-to-Use Ratio | 34% | 11% | 38% |
| Average Price ($/tonne) Chickpeas note d | 1,000 | 1,005 | 815 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Mustard Seed
For 2024‑25, production rose by 13% to 192 Kt, with lower area, but higher yields. Production of yellow, brown and oriental types of mustard seed rose. Supply increased by 28% to 290 Kt. Exports are expected to be higher at 100 Kt. Due to the increased supply, carry out stocks are forecast to rise sharply to 145 Kt. The US and the EU are expected to remain the main export markets for Canadian mustard seed. The average price is forecast to fall significantly to $830/t.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Mustard Seed note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 225 | 258 | 245 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 219 | 251 | 243 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 162 | 171 | 192 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes) Mustard Seed note b | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 189 | 226 | 290 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes) Mustard Seed note b | 110 | 96 | 100 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes) Mustard Seed note c | 40 | 42 | 45 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 40 | 88 | 145 |
| Stocks-to-Use Ratio | 26% | 64% | 100% |
| Average Price ($/tonne) Mustard Seed note d | 2,140 | 1,280 | 830 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Canary Seed
For 2024‑25, production rose by 65% to 185 Kt with higher yields and area. Exports are expected to be higher than last year at 125 Kt, due to the increased supply. The EU and Mexico are forecast to remain the main export markets. The average price is forecast to fall from the 2023-24 level to $730/t due to larger supply and expectations for increased carry out stocks.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Canary Seed note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 118 | 104 | 118 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 117 | 103 | 118 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 1.36 | 1.09 | 1.57 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 159 | 112 | 185 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes) Canary Seed note b | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 213 | 170 | 229 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes) Canary Seed note b | 147 | 112 | 125 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes) Canary Seed note c | 9 | 13 | 14 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 57 | 44 | 90 |
| Stocks-to-Use Ratio | 36% | 35% | 65% |
| Average Price ($/tonne) Canary Seed note d | 900 | 930 | 730 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Sunflower Seed
For 2024‑25, production was lower than the previous year at 51 Kt due to a fall in area and yields. Supply fell 7% despite larger carry in stocks. Exports are forecast to rise from last year to 35 Kt. Carry out stocks are forecast to fall to 150 Kt. The US is expected to continue to be Canada’s main export market for sunflower seed. The average price is forecast to be 9% higher than 2023-24, at $595/t, largely due to higher oilseed type prices.
US sunflower seed production is estimated by the USDA at 0.6 Mt, down 42% from 2023-24, largely due to decreased production in North and South Dakota. It is estimated by AAFC that US production of oil type varieties fall to 0.46 Mt, and confectionery type varieties decrease to about 130 Kt. US supply is forecast by the USDA to be 24% lower at 1.0 Mt. US exports are expected to fall and domestic use is expected to decrease. US sunflower seed carry out stocks are expected to fall and support North American prices.
For 2024-25, the global supply of sunflower seed is estimated by the USDA at 56 Mt. This is 11% lower than last year, due to reduced output by Ukraine and Russia. World exports are expected to decrease by 18% to 2.3 Mt and domestic use is expected to fall 9% to 51 Mt. World carry out stocks are expected to fall to 2.3 Mt, lower than the five-year average.
| 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025Sunflower Seed note f | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area seeded (thousand hectares) | 38 | 40 | 24 |
| Area harvested (thousand hectares) | 38 | 40 | 24 |
| Yield (tonnes per hectare) | 2.24 | 2.32 | 2.13 |
| Production (thousand tonnes) | 84 | 92 | 51 |
| Imports (thousand tonnes) Sunflower Seed note b | 40 | 27 | 25 |
| Total supply (thousand tonnes) | 242 | 270 | 251 |
| Exports (thousand tonnes) Sunflower Seed note b | 22 | 30 | 35 |
| Total Domestic Use (thousand tonnes) Sunflower Seed note c | 70 | 66 | 66 |
| Carry-out Stocks (thousand tonnes) | 151 | 175 | 150 |
| Stocks-to-Use Ratio | 165% | 184% | 149% |
| Average Price ($/tonne) Sunflower Seed note d | 800 | 545 | 595 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) |
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Historical data
Historical principal field crops data are available in spreadsheet format and can be obtained by emailing aafc.bulletin.aac@agr.gc.ca. Please specify crops, crop years, and preferred file format in your request.