Customized Report Service – Baby food trends in Canada, United States, Mexico (CUSMA)

Market snapshot

In 2022, a total of US$11.4 billion of baby food products (including food preparations of cereal, meat, fish, fruit and vegetable for infant or dietetic use) were imported from the world registering a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) decline of 3.5% since 2018. The United States was the 3rd largest import market at a value of US$435.7 million (63.7 thousand tonnes), while Canada ranked as the 9th largest (US$249.7 million, 32.2 thousand tonnes) and Mexico was the 24th largest (US$88.0 million, 8.6 thousand tonnes) in 2022.

Canada's largest importers for these aforementioned baby food products in 2022, were the United States (Can$22.6 million, 3.1 thousand tonnes), China (Can$3.9 million, 679.8 tonnes) and Mexico (Can$1.4 million, 337.5 tonnes) - who entered the market in 2022. Top Canadian baby food exports supplied to the US were homogenized composite food preparation mixtures of two or more ingredients of meat, fish, vegetables or fruit (HS:210420) valued at Can$21.6 million, followed by homogenized vegetables (HS:200510) at Can$1.0 million and homogenized preparations of fruit (HS:200710) valued at Can$5.3 thousand. Canada supplied Mexico infant cereal food preparations of flour, groats, meal, start or malt extract, nowhere else specified (HS:190110) in 2022.

Total global retail sales of baby food products (including milk formula, dried, prepared, other baby food snacks & drinks) reached US$73.2 billion in 2022, which grew by a CAGR of 3.7% (2018 to 2022). In 2022, the United States was the 2nd largest retail market across the world (US$8.5 billion, 11.6% market share), while Mexico ranked in 6th place (US$1.4 billion, 1.9% market share) in terms of value sales in the baby food and milk formula sector. Canada was the 28th largest market at a sales value of US$545.7 million (0.7% market share), representing a CAGR of 1.7% (2018-2022).

Mintel's Global New Products Database (GNPD) indicated that there were 883 new baby food products launched (including new variety/range extension, packaging, formulation or relaunched) in the American market, followed by Canada (425), and Mexico (249) between January 2018 and April 14, 2023. Leading baby food parent companies launching new products (n=533) across North America and Mexico (Q1/Q2-2022 to Q1/Q2-2023), were Nestlé (116), Gerber Products (52), Walmart (46), Hero (44) and Beech-Nut Nutrition (44). Top brands during this period, were Parent's Choice (28), Beech-Nut Naturals (19), Gerber (18), PC Organics (18), and Sprout Organics (17).

Global trade overview of baby food

The global import market for baby food (including food preparations of cereal, meat, fish, fruit & vegetable for infant or dietetic use) has experienced a total decrease in CAGR of −3.5% declining from US$13.1 billion in 2018 to US$11.4 billion in 2022. China was the largest global importer of baby food products valued at US$4.6 billion, (284.8 thousand tonnes), followed by Saudi Arabia with imports valued at US$604.0 million (41.5 thousand tonnes) and the United States (US) with an import value of US$435.7 million (63.7 thousand tonnes) at a total market share of 3.8% in 2022.

Canada in comparison, was the 9th largest market for baby food products (HS codes: 160210, 190110, 200510, 200710, 210420), accounting for 2.2% of the total world market share in 2022 at a value of US$249.7 million (32.2 thousand tonnes). During the same period, Mexico was the 24th largest market for baby food products, accounting for 0.8% of the global market share at a value of US$88.0 million (8.6 thousand tonnes).

Global - Top 10 import markets of baby food[1] products, US$ millions, historic
Country 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022 Market share % 2022
Total - world imports 13,116.4 13,233.1 12,910.4 11,707.2 11,377.4 −3.5 100.0
1. China 4,926.6 5361.9 5,238.4 4,486.6 4,570.4 −1.9 40.2
2. Saudi Arabia 549.9 665.3 639.4 587.4 604.0 2.4 5.3
3. United States 70.5 78.7 110.8 149.7 435.7 57.7 3.8
4. United Kingdom 357.9 393.2 453.2 344.0 328.4 −2.1 2.9
5. Germany 539.4 360.9 309.8 300.4 311.4 −12.8 2.7
6. Vietnam 211.7 251.9 243.3 254.4 294.8 8.6 2.6
7. Malaysia 260.6 235.5 266.2 241.8 280.1 1.8 2.5
8. France 305.0 268.8 304.2 259.6 263.7 −3.6 2.3
9. Canada 249.3 239.7 238.4 219.5 249.7 0.0 2.2
10. Netherlands 255.9 213.5 230.2 198.6 246.6 −0.9 2.2
Subtotal - top 10 7,726.8 8,069.5 8,033.8 7,042.1 7,584.9 −0.5 66.7
Mexico (24) 89.1 83.4 79.3 77.7 88.0 −0.3 0.8

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

1: Baby food - Defined as homogenised preparations put up for retail sale as infant food or dietetic purposes (including HS codes: 160210, 190110, 200510, 200710, 210420)

Global - Top 10 import markets of confectionery products, volume in '000 tonnes, historic
Country 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022 Market share % 2022
Total - world imports 1,919.3 1,915.4 1,838.5 1,585.1 1,451.0 −6.8 100.0
1. China 337.8 360.2 352.0 277.2 284.8 −4.2 19.6
2. Malaysia 93.5 79.1 85.8 80.9 82.7 −3.0 5.7
3. Germany 104.7 87.4 73.5 66.2 73.0 −8.6 5.0
4. United Kingdom 80.5 103.4 116.9 92.0 67.0 −4.5 4.6
5. United States 18.2 18.3 25.8 33.6 63.7 36.7 4.4
6. Netherlands 52.7 50.9 55.2 48.9 61.2 3.8 4.2
7. France 58.5 53.8 55.1 47.9 51.1 −3.3 3.5
8. Italy 59.0 59.0 37.8 50.7 51.0 −3.5 3.5
9. Poland 21.4 28.1 36.0 41.9 49.3 23.2 3.4
10. Saudi Arabia 43.4 56.7 53.2 45.2 41.5 −1.1 2.9
Subtotal - top 10 869.7 897.0 891.3 784.5 825.2 −1.3 56.9
Canada (12) 30.1 28.5 32.2 29.8 32.2 1.7 2.2
Mexico (35) 10.4 11.1 8.7 8.6 8.6 −4.6 0.6

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

The baby food import market in the United States

The top three suppliers of baby food products to the United States were Ireland (US$172.1 million, 16 thousand tonnes), Mexico (US$112.5 million, 24.7 thousand tonnes) and Chile (US$47.7 million, 12.4 thousand tonnes) in 2022. During the same period, Canada was the 6th largest supplier to the United States at a value of US$17.3 million (3.1 thousand tonnes).

Amongst the top 10 markets, Australia registered the largest growth increase (2018 to 2022) at a CAGR of 5,817% (entering the American market in 2021) to reach US$19.8 million in 2022; followed by Austria at a CAGR of 1,397.4% reaching US$2.7 million, and New Zealand at a CAGR of 515.1% (US$9.6 million). Alternatively, Canada was the only leading import market from the United States that registered a negative CAGR of 5.4%, decreasing from a supply value of US$21.6 million in 2018 to US$17.3 million in 2022.

United States - top 10 global suppliers of baby food products, US$ millions, historic
Country 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022 Market share % 2022
Total - world imports 70.5 78.7 110.8 149.7 435.7 57.7 100.0
1. Ireland 14.8 10.3 14.1 19.7 172.1 84.5 39.5
2. Mexico 2.2 7.1 25.2 59.1 112.5 167.0 25.8
3. Chile 24.7 25.8 31.1 33.4 47.7 18.0 11.0
4. United Kingdom 0.123 0.133 0.263 0.135 26.8 284.7 6.2
5. Australia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.335 19.8 5,817.0 4.6
6. Canada 21.6 23.6 22.5 16.8 17.3 −5.4 4.0
7. Netherlands 2.7 5.3 9.0 7.7 11.9 44.6 2.7
8. New Zealand 0.0 0.041 0.0 0.0 9.6 515.1 2.2
9. Poland 0.032 2.4 4.9 2.7 3.3 220.0 0.8
10. Austria 0.0 0.0 0.012 1.4 2.7 1,397.4 0.6
Subtotal - top 10 66.2 74.7 107.0 141.2 423.9 59.1 97.3

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

United States - top 10 global suppliers of baby food products,volume in tonnes (MT), historic
Country 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022 Market share % 2022
Total - world imports 18,221.6 18,313.2 25,800.5 33,593.4 63,702.2 36.7 100.0
1. Mexico 421.4 1,602.0 7,038.8 14,630.9 24,729.3 176.8 38.8
2. Ireland 2,641.5 876.6 1,708.3 2,298.8 15,968.6 56.8 25.1
3. Chile 7,747.8 8,203.7 9,929.6 9,142.8 12,365.4 12.4 19.4
4. Canada 4,122.9 4,645.0 3,944.2 3,561.6 3,075.3 −7.1 4.8
5. United Kingdom 45.3 31.7 50.4 22.1 1,179.1 125.9 1.9
6. Australia 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.4 1,146.7 3,803.5 1.8
7. Poland 8.7 573. 1090.8 582.6 754.8 205.0 1.2
8. Colombia 310.9 356.5 275.2 823.4 667.2 55.7 1.0
9. Netherlands 1,194.8 604.4 545.2 562.5 656.4 −13.9 1.0
10. Spain 1,073.9 589.4 181.5 177.2 508.2 −17.1 0.8
Subtotal - top 10 17,567.2 17,482.3 24,763.9 31,831.3 61,051.1 36.5 95.8

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

In 2022, imported baby food products (suitable for infants or dietetic purposes) from the United States were infant cereal food preparations of flour, groats, meal, start or malt extract, nowhere else specified (n.e.s.) (HS:190110) valued at US$351.6 million (42.5 thousand tonnes); followed by finely homogenized mixtures of food preparations of two or more ingredients of meat, fish, vegetables or fruit (HS:210420) valued at US$55.7 million (13 thousand tonnes); homogenized preparations of fruit in containers ≤250 grams (HS:200710) valued at US$26.3 million (7.6 thousand tonnes); and homogenized vegetables (not frozen) in containers ≤250 grams (HS:200510) valued at US$2.3 million (537.3 tonnes).

United State's baby food imports from the world by HS code,US$ millions, historic
HS Code Description 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022
Total - baby food products 70.5 78.7 110.8 149.7 435.7 57.7
190110 Food preparations for infant use, of flour, groats, meal, starch or malt extract, nowhere else specified (of milk, sour cream, whey, yogurt, kephir and similar good; excluding cocoa) 22.1 20.2 46.9 84.1 351.6 99.8
210420 Food preparations, finely homogenized mixtures ≥2 basic ingredients, that is, meat, fish, vegetables, or fruit, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 35.8 45.6 47.6 47.6 55.7 11.7
200710 Homogenized preparations of fruit, put up for retail sale suitable for infants or for dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 11.4 11.4 14.1 15.7 26.3 23.1
200510 Homogenized vegetables, not frozen, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.3 2.3 17.4

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

United State's baby food imports from the world by HS code, volume in tonnes (MT), historic
HS Code Description 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022
Total - baby food products 18,221.6 18,313.2 25,800.5 33,593.4 63,702.2 36.7
190110 Food preparations for infant use, of flour, groats, meal, starch or malt extract, nowhere else specified (of milk, sour cream, whey, yogurt, kephir and similar good; excluding cocoa) 5,963.3 3,315.7 9,344.2 16,785.3 42,534.8 63.4
210420 Food preparations, finely homogenized mixtures ≥2 basic ingredients, that is, meat, fish, vegetables, or fruit, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 8,198.3 10,875.4 11,445.6 11,377.4 13,045.1 12.3
200710 Homogenized preparations of fruit, put up for retail sale suitable for infants or for dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 3,861.5 3,772.1 4,514.6 4,899.0 7,585.1 18.4
200510 Homogenized vegetables, not frozen, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 198.5 350.1 496.0 531.7 537.3 28.3

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

The baby food import market in Mexico

The top three suppliers of baby food products to Mexico were the Netherlands (US$9.5 million, 819.6 thousand tonnes), Germany (US$8.4 million, 694 thousand tonnes) and France (US$2.2 million, 231 thousand tonnes) in 2022. Meanwhile, the United States (US$1.2 million, 63.1 thousand tonnes) was the 4th largest supplier to Mexico in 2022, while Canada (US$4,351) ranked as the 16th largest in 2021.

Note: Tables below were ranked by the top 10 markets in 2021, since several larger baby food markets previously in 2021, reported zero baby food products supplied to Mexico in 2022.

Amongst the top 10 markets, all countries registered 5-year declines other than France that increased by a CAGR of 3.1% (2018-2022). Those markets that registered a negative CAGR by 100% in order of largest to smallest as of 2021 were Spain, Ireland, Argentina, Chile, Poland, Italy and Canada.

Mexico - top 10 global suppliers of baby food products, US$ millions, historic
Country 2018 2019 2020 2021[a] 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022 Market share % 2022
Total - world imports 89.1 83.4 79.3 77.7 88.0 −0.3 100.0
1. Netherlands 39.2 34.1 41.0 36.7 9.5 −29.9 10.8
2. Germany 10.3 10.4 11.0 13.7 8.4 −5.1 9.5
3. Spain 14.8 13.9 10.6 11.7 0.0 −100.0 0.0
4. Ireland 4.6 5.6 5.8 4.4 0.0 −100.0 0.0
5. France 1.9 2.3 4.4 2.6 2.2 3.1 2.5
6. Argentina 5.6 3.8 2.6 2.3 0.0 −100.0 0.0
7. United States 10.1 11.1 2.5 1.7 1.2 −41.0 1.4
8. Chile 1.0 0.849 0.616 0.666 0.0 −100.0 0.0
9. Poland 0.676 0.768 0.531 0.294 0.0 −100.0 0.0
10. Italy 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.103 0.0 −100.0 0.0
Subtotal - top 10 88.1 82.9 79.1 74.2 21.2 −30.0 24.1
Canada (16) 0.04 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.0 −100.0 0.0

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

a: Top 10 markets - Ranked on year 2021

Mexico - top 10 global suppliers of baby food products,volume in tonnes (MT), historic
Country 2018 2019 2020 2021[a] 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022 Market share % 2022
Total - world imports 10,445.1 11,067.2 8,734.9 8,590.3 8,637.1 −4.6 100.0
1. Netherlands 4,704.3 3,926.6 4,203.3 3,707.8 819.6 −35.4 9.5
2. Germany 1,164.4 1157. 1,252.9 1,420.4 694.0 −12.1 8.0
3. Spain 1,216.8 1,211.8 893.0 1,176.9 0.0 −100.0 0.0
4. Ireland 601.8 809.3 762.3 709.4 0.0 −100.0 0.0
5. Argentina 893.6 631.6 426.9 355.6 0.0 −100.0 0.0
6. France 206.2 262.4 539.0 280.8 231.0 2.9 2.7
7. United States 1,165.3 2,459.0 305.9 270.8 63.1 −51.8 0.7
8. Chile 286.5 352.0 255.4 214.9 0.0 −100.0 0.0
9. Poland 118.5 145.7 81.0 43.2 0.0 −100.0 0.0
10. Argentina 3.0 5.5 5.3 5.9 0.0 −100.0 0.0
Subtotal - top 10 10,360.4 10,961.0 8,724.9 8,185.7 1,807.7 −35.4 20.9
Canada (18) 4.5 0.0 0.001 0.267 0.0 −100.0 0.0

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

a: Top 10 markets - Ranked on year 2021

In 2022, imported baby food products (suitable for infants or dietetic purposes) from Mexico were infant cereal food preparations of flour, groats, meal, start or malt extract, nowhere else specified (n.e.s.) (HS:190110) valued at US$87.9 million (8.6 thousand tonnes); followed by finely homogenized mixtures of food preparations of two or more ingredients of meat, fish, vegetables or fruit (HS:210420) valued at US$43.9 thousand (6.5 thousand tonnes). Unlike in 2021, Mexico imported zero homogenized infant preparations in containers ≤250 grams of fruit, vegetables or meat in 2022.

Mexico's baby food imports from the world by HS code, US$ thousands, historic
HS Code Description 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022
Total - baby food products 89,064.6 83,377.8 79,309.3 77,731.5 88,009.4 −0.3
190110 Food preparations for infant use, of flour, groats, meal, starch or malt extract, nowhere else specified (of milk, sour cream, whey, yogurt, kephir and similar good; excluding cocoa) 88,815.9 82,738.9 79,051.2 77,685.2 87,965.5 −0.2
210420 Homogenized composite food preparations, mixtures of ≥2 basic ingredients, that is, meat, fish, vegetables, or fruit, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 86.5 397.5 195.0 18.5 43.9 −15.6
200710 Homogenized preparations of fruit, put up for retail sale suitable for infants or for dietetic purposes 15.7 230.0 2.9 21.7 0.0 11.4
200510 Homogenized vegetables, not frozen, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 17.4 11.5 6.6 5.6 0.0 −31.6
160210 Homogenized prepared meat, offal or blood, put up for retail sale as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 129.1 0.0 53.6 0.5 0.0 −84.7

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Mexico's baby food imports from the world by HS code, volume in tonnes (MT), historic
HS Code Description 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022
Total - baby food products 10,445.1 11,067.2 8,734.9 8,590.3 8,637.1 −4.6
190110 Food preparations for infant use, of flour, groats, meal, starch or malt extract, nowhere else specified (of milk, sour cream, whey, yogurt, kephir and similar good; excluding cocoa) 10,370.6 10,786.2 8,614.6 8,581.8 8,630.6 −4.5
200710 Homogenized preparations of fruit, put up for retail sale suitable for infants or for dietetic purposes 15.0 200.5 101.3 4.3 6.5 −19.0
210420 Homogenized composite food preparations, mixtures of ≥2 basic ingredients, that is, meat, fish, vegetables, or fruit, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 2.6 79.2 0.316 3.8 0.0 −100.0
200510 Homogenized vegetables, not frozen, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 2.4 1.3 0.584 0.275 0.0 −100.0
160210 Homogenized prepared meat, offal or blood, put up for retail sale as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 54.4 0.0 18.1 0.020 0.0 −100.0

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Canada's export performance to the United States and Mexico

The top three importers of baby food products from Canada were the United States (Can$22.6 million, 3.1 thousand tonnes), China (Can$3.9 million, 679.8 tonnes) and Mexico (Can$1.4 million, 337.5 tonnes) in 2022.

Amongst the top 10 markets, Mexico registered the largest growth increase (2018-2022) at a CAGR of 295.4%; followed by New Zealand at a CAGR of 28.9% reaching Can$58.6 thousand, and the United Arab Emirates at a CAGR of 25.2% (Can$82.2 thousand). Norway entered the market in 2022, moving into the top ten list as the 7th largest market at a Canadian import value of Can$91.4 million (23.8 tonnes). Alternatively, leading import markets from Canada that registered negative CAGRs between 2018 and 2022 were Jamaica (−25.7%), Taiwan (−17.6%), Barbados (−16.2%), and the United States (−5.3%).

Top 10 global importers of baby food products from Canada, Can$ thousands, historic
Country 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022 Market share % 2022
Total - Canadian exports[1] 33,019.6 35,897.9 34,990.0 26,662.3 29,338.4 −2.9 100.0
1. United States 28,016.2 31,320.0 30,181.7 21,061.5 22,578.5 −5.3 77.0
2. China 1,672.5 2,117.4 2,775.3 3,586.4 3,850.4 23.2 13.1
3. Mexico 0.0 22.0 0.0 0.0 1,358.9 295.4 4.6
4. Peru 422.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 814.2 17.8 2.8
5. Barbados 277.4 217.1 241.7 244.5 136.8 −16.2 0.5
6. Jamaica 350.4 262.3 289.3 129.8 106.9 −25.7 0.4
7. Norway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.4 0.3
8. Taiwan 0.0 154.5 14.7 54.6 86.3 −17.6 0.3
9. United Arab Emirates 33.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 82.2 25.2 0.3
10. New Zealand 0.0 27.4 347.6 8.2 58.6 28.9 0.2
Subtotal - top 10 importers 30,772.9 34,120.6 33,850.2 25,085.1 29,164.4 −1.3 99.4

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

1: As reported by Canada

Top 10 global importers of baby food products from Canada, volume in tonnes (MT), historic
Country 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022 Market share % 2022
Total - Canadian exports[1] 5,834.2 6,360.1 5,407.7 4,913.3 4,550.6 −6.0 100.0
1. United States 4,122.9 4,645.0 3,944.2 3,561.6 3,075.3 −7.1 67.6
2. China 453.1 441.2 491.8 598.4 679.8 10.7 14.9
3. Mexico 0.0 8.1 0.0 0.0 337.5 246.7 7.4
4. Peru 72.3 0.0 .00 0.0 180.0 25.6 4.0
5. Barbados 206.8 139.2 165.2 148.1 78.0 −21.6 1.7
6. Jamaica 237.6 228.6 207.8 68.8 38.9 −36.4 0.9
7. United Arab Emirates 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.2 25.5 0.7
8. Taiwan 0.0 68. 5.6 18.8 31.2 −22.9 0.7
9. Norway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.8 n/a 0.5
10. Trinidad and Tobago 188.1 229.1 187.0 131.0 20.4 −42.6 0.4
Subtotal - top 10 importers[1] 5,294.2 5,759.1 5,001.5 4,526.8 4,498.1 −4.0 98.8

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

1: As reported by Canada

The United States

In 2022, Canada's exports of baby food products (suitable for infants or dietetic purposes) to the United States were homogenized composite food preparation mixtures of two or more ingredients of meat, fish, vegetables or fruit in containers ≤250 grams (HS:210420) valued at Can$21.6 million (3.0 thousand tonnes); followed by homogenized vegetables (not frozen) in containers ≤250 grams (HS:200510) valued at Can$1.0 million (101.6 tonnes); homogenized preparations of fruit in containers ≤250 grams (HS:200710) valued at Can$5.3 thousand (181 kilograms); and infant cereal food preparations of flour, groats, meal, start or malt extract, nowhere else specified (n.e.s.) (HS:190110) valued at Can$3.1 thousand (28 kilograms).

Canada's value exports of baby food to the United States by product in Can$ thousands, historical
HS code Description 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022
Total - baby food exports to the United States 28,016.2 31,320.0 30,181.7 21,061.5 22,578.5 −5.3
210420 Homogenized composite food preparations, mixtures of ≥2 basic ingredients, that is, meat, fish, vegetables, or fruit, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 26,473.8 30,188.2 29,175.9 20,015.5 21,559.5 −5.0
200510 Homogenized vegetables, not frozen, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 1,312.2 1,123.9 952.0 995.0 1,010.6 −6.3
200710 Homogenized preparations of fruit, put up for retail sale suitable for infants or for dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 230.2 7.9 38.6 51.0 5.3 −61.0
190110 Food preparations for infant use, of flour, groats, meal, starch or malt extract, nowhere else specified (of milk, sour cream, whey, yogurt, kephir and similar good; excluding cocoa) 0.0 0.0 15.2 0.0 3.1 −54.7

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Canada's volume exports of baby food to the United States by product in tonnes (MT), historical
HS code Description 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022
Total - baby food exports to the United States 4,122.9 4,645.0 3,944.2 3561.6 3,075.3 −7.1
210420 Homogenized composite food preparations, mixtures of ≥2 basic ingredients, that is, meat, fish, vegetables, or fruit, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 3,947.4 4,525.8 3,843.6 3440.5 2,973.5 −6.8
200510 Homogenized vegetables, not frozen, retailed as infant food or dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 136.5 118.1 93.8 104.9 101.6 −7.1
200710 Homogenized preparations of fruit, put up for retail sale suitable for infants or for dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 39.0 1.1 4.8 16.2 0.181 −73.9
190110 Food preparations for infant use, of flour, groats, meal, starch or malt extract, nowhere else specified (of milk, sour cream, whey, yogurt, kephir and similar good; excluding cocoa) 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.028 −88.2

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Canada's baby food supply gap to the United States, Can$ millions, historic
Category 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022
United States - imports from the World[1] 91.4 104.4 148.3 187.5 572.3 58.2
United States - imports from Canada[1] 28. 31.3 30.2 21.1 22.6 −5.3
Supply gap (63.3) (73.0) (118.1) (166.4) (549.7) −71.6

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

1: As reported by the United States

Mexico

In 2022, Canada's exports of baby food products (suitable for infants or dietetic purposes) to Mexico was for infant cereal food preparations of flour, groats, meal, start or malt extract, nowhere else specified (HS:190110) valued at Can$1.4 million (337.5 tonnes); and only in 2019, homogenized preparations of fruit in containers ≤250 grams (HS:200710) valued at Can$22.0 thousand (8.1 tonnes).

Canada's value exports of baby food to Mexico by product in Can$ thousand, historical
HS code Description 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022
Total - baby food exports to Mexico 0.0 22.0 0.0 0.0 1,358.9 295.4
190110 Food preparations for infant use, of flour, groats, meal, starch or malt extract, nowhere else specified (of milk, sour cream, whey, yogurt, kephir and similar good; excluding cocoa) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,358.9
200710 Homogenized preparations of fruit, put up for retail sale suitable for infants or for dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 0.0 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 −100.0

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Canada's volume exports of baby food to Mexico by product in kilograms (kg), historical
HS code Description 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022
Total - baby food exports to Mexico 0 8,097 0 0 337,500 246.7
190110 Food preparations for infant use, of flour, groats, meal, starch or malt extract, nowhere else specified (of milk, sour cream, whey, yogurt, kephir and similar good; excluding cocoa) 0 0 0 0 337,500
200710 Homogenized preparations of fruit, put up for retail sale suitable for infants or for dietetic purposes, in containers ≤250 grams 0 8,097 0 0 0 −100.0

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Canada's baby food supply gap to Mexico, Can$ millions, historic
Category 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR* % 2018-2022
Mexico - imports from the World 115.4 110.6 106.6 97.7 114.5 −0.2
Mexico[1] - imports from Canada 0.0 0.022 0.0 0.0 1.4 299.2
Supply gap (115.4) (110.6) (106.6) (97.7) (113.1) −96.9

Source: Global Trade Tracker, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

1: As reported by Canada (export values)

Global retail sales of baby food

Total global retail sales of baby food products (including milk formula) increased by a CAGR of 3.7% from US$61.2 billion in 2017 to US$73.2 billion in 2022 and is expected to stabilize at a moderate 5-year period growth of 3.5% to reach US$86.8 billion in 2027. China was the largest retail sale market for baby food products at a value of US$30.1 billion (41.2% market share), followed by the United States at US$8.5 billion (11.6% market share, 4.2% CAGR) and Indonesia valued at US$2.7 billion (3.6% market share) in 2022.

In 2022, Mexico was the 6th largest global baby food market at a retail sales value of US$1.4 billion with a market share of 1.9% and a CAGR of 7.4% (2018-2022). Canada was the 28th largest market at US$545.7 million (0.7% market share) in 2022, and a CAGR of 1.7% over the same period.

Retail sales - Top global baby food markets in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rates, historic and forecast
Country 2017 2022 CAGR* % 2017-2022 2023 2027 CAGR* % 2022-2027
Total - world 61,159.7 73,239.3 3.7 76,135.9 86,794.7 3.5
1. China 25,022.5 30,148.8 3.8 30,080.1 29,905.6 −0.2
2. United States 6,901.9 8,460.0 4.2 8,941.0 9,273.6 1.9
3. Indonesia 2,341.5 2,650.3 2.5 2,729.2 3,124.2 3.3
4. Vietnam 1,507.7 1,854.0 4.2 1,975.8 2,691.1 7.7
5. Russia 1,389.2 1,735.4 4.6 1,939.1 2,660.6 8.9
6. Mexico 972.5 1,387.8 7.4 1,507.4 1,966.6 7.2
7. Argentina 55.1 315.6 41.8 501.0 1,736.4 40.6
8. Brazil 812.4 1,108.2 6.4 1,189.2 1,479.1 5.9
9. Saudi Arabia 937.1 1,135.2 3.9 1,188.8 1,447.4 5.0
10. France 1,429.9 1,420.2 −0.1 1,426.6 1,409.6 −0.1
Total - top 10 41,369.8 50,215.5 4.0 51,478.2 55,694.2 2.1
Canada (28) 500.8 545.7 1.7 563.9 632.3 3.0

Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate. Base year for growth rate is 2022, which is actual retail value sales.

Note: Retail sales totals of baby food consists of dried/prepared/other baby food (including milk formula). Other baby food may include baby rusks, teething biscuits, baby fruit juices, baby herbal tea etc. (leading global brands including Gerber, Plasmon, Milupa, Hipp, Nestlé)

Retail sales in the United States

Retail sales of baby food products (no milk formula) in United States increased by a CAGR of 4.6% (2017 to 2022) from US$2.3 billion in 2017 to US$2.8 billion in 2022. In this subsector, prepared baby food was the largest category by a market value share of 83.6% at a value of US$2.4 billion, followed by other baby food snacks and drinks (including baby rusks, teething biscuits, baby fruit juices, baby herbal tea etc.) at US$327.2 million (11.5%), and dried baby food at US$136.9 million (4.9%) in 2022.

Milk formula totalled US$5.6 billion over the same year that saw a shortage nationwide in 2021, where parents often paid up to 10 times the market value online on sites such as eBay just to secure these milk formula products. The pandemic trend of making baby food at home is one that has persisted, and is expanding beyond solid food into milk formula - yet, experts have publicly asked parents to cease making their own formula. Aside from this warning, parents are making their own traditional home-made baby foods and snacks, since they like to control the quality of ingredients they use, along with the freshness of the food for their babies and toddlers.Footnote 1

During the forecast period of 2022 (actual base year) to 2027, baby food (no milk formula) retail sales in the United States are expected to increase in value by a CAGR of 0.9% from US$2.8 billion in 2022 to US$3.0 billion in 2027. Other baby food snacks and drinks are expected to register the highest growth at a CAGR of 4.8%, followed by dried baby food (1.0%), and prepared baby food products by 0.3% (2022-2027).

Retail sales of baby food by category in the United States, historic
Category 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 126.3 127.1 128.3 132.0 133.3 136.9
Prepared baby food 1,855.1 1,903.1 1,946.5 2,056.4 2,171.6 2,373.8
Other baby food snacks and drinks 290.1 291.8 294.5 308.2 314.9 327.2
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 2,271.5 2,322.0 2,369.3 2,496.6 2,619.8 2,837.9
Milk formula 4,630.5 4,715.4 4,793.8 4,935.4 5,194.4 5,622.2
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 6,901.9 7,037.4 7,163.1 7,432.0 7,814.1 8,460.0
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food 16.0 15.6 15.3 15.2 14.4 13.7
Prepared baby food 181.3 182.5 183.3 189.9 189.9 191.3
Other baby food snacks and drinks 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.7 6.5 6.2
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023
Retail sales growth (%) of baby food by category in the United States, historic
Category Annual growth % 2022/2021 CAGR* % 2017-2022 Total growth % 2017-2022
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 2.7 1.6 8.4
Prepared baby food 9.3 5.1 28.0
Other baby food snacks and drinks 3.9 2.4 12.8
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 8.3 4.6 24.9
Milk formula 8.2 4.0 21.4
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 8.3 4.2 22.6
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food −4.9 −3.1 −14.4
Prepared baby food 0.7 1.1 5.5
Other baby food snacks and drinks −4.6 −1.5 −7.5

Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Retail sales of baby food by category in the United States, forecast
Category 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 136.9 136.6 137.0 139.6 141.3 143.9
Prepared baby food 2,373.8 2,479.6 2,555.3 2,478.3 2,401.8 2,411.8
Other baby food snacks and drinks 327.2 345.4 361.5 379.8 396.8 413.0
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 2,837.9 2,961.6 3,053.8 2,997.7 2,939.9 2,968.7
Milk formula 5,622.2 5,979.3 6,036.6 6,126.0 6,199.1 6,304.9
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 8,460.0 8,941.0 9,090.4 9,123.6 9,139.0 9,273.6
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food 13.7 13.1 12.7 12.6 12.4 12.3
Prepared baby food 191.3 190.5 190.7 183.8 176.4 170.5
Other baby food snacks and drinks 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.9
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023
Retail sales growth (%) of baby food by category in the United States, forecast
Category Annual growth % 2023/2022 CAGR* % 2022-2027 Total growth % 2022-2027
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 1.8 1.0 5.1
Prepared baby food 0.4 0.3 1.6
Other baby food snacks and drinks 4.1 4.8 26.2
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 1.0 0.9 4.6
Milk formula 1.7 2.3 12.1
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 1.5 1.9 9.6
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food −0.8 −2.1 −10.2
Prepared baby food −3.3 −2.3 −10.9
Other baby food snacks and drinks 3.0 2.2 11.3

Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Competitive Landscape

In 2022, the top 5 baby food companies (including milk formula) and their brand(s) in the United States, controlling 74.9% (US$6.3 billion) of the total retail market share were Abbott Laboratories Inc. at 26.3% (Similac, PediaSure, Isomil), Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc. (RB) at 24.7% (Enfamil), Nestlé SA at 18.2% (Gerber, Good Start), The Hain Celestial Group Inc. at 3.8% (Earth's Best, Ella's Kitchen), and Sun-Maid Growers Inc. at 1.9% (Plum Organics). Private label companies spiked in sales, which represented a 4.4% market share at a value of US$370.3 million in 2022. Although parents are typically loyal to the brands they feed their babies, downtrading was a trend that helped boost private label sales late in 2021 and into 2022 - due to the lack of availability of big-name brands, coupled with higher prices across industries.Footnote 1

SunMaid recently entered the baby food sector with the acquisition of Plum Organics, and is using a new method of product development by having young children in its target age ranges gather around, to pitch and gain insights into what catches the little ones eyes and have them try new products. Sun-Maid already being a trusted name in fruit snacks for families and incorporating this 'kid-novation' approach into the baby food category has ultimately placed them as the 5th largest company in the American baby food retail market.Footnote 1

Top baby food and milk formula companies in the United States, 2022 Fixed retail value sales (US$ million) and market share
Company (baby food category) Top brand(s) Retail sales (US$ million) Market share %
Abbott Laboratories Inc. (milk formula) Similac, PediaSure, Isomil 2,224.2 26.3
Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc. (RB) (milk formula) Enfamil 2,089.0 24.7
Nestlé SA (milk formula, dried, prepared, other) Gerber, Good Start 1,541.5 18.2
The Hain Celestial Group Inc. (milk formula, dried, prepared, other) Earth's Best, Ella's Kitchen 322.0 3.8
Sun-Maid Growers Inc. (prepared, other baby food) Plum Organics 162.3 1.9
Hero Group GmbH (dried, prepared baby food) Beech-Nut 157.9 1.9
Groupe Danone (milk formula, dried, prepared) Happybaby, Neocate 133.2 1.6
Groupe Lactalis (prepared baby food) Stonyfield 62.6 0.7
Private label Private label 370.3 4.4
Others Others 1,397.0 16.5
Total - baby food 8,460.0 100.0
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

Retail distribution channels

The majority of United States' baby food and milk formula market was distributed through store-based retailing (US$6.0 billion) versus non-store retailing (US$2.4 billion) during the historic period, with a market share of 71.3% and 28.7%, respectively in 2022. Albeit, e-commerce (online) retail sales grew by a total growth of 400.6% versus a store-based (offline) decrease in sales of 6.0% between 2017 and 2022.

American grocery retailers distribute most of the baby food and milk formula products (US$5.2 billion) representing a market share of 61.0%, mainly within hypermarkets (25%), supermarkets (24.2%), and grocery warehouse clubs (5.1%) in 2022. The remainder of these products were distributed through non-grocery specialists (10.3%) such as health & beauty specialists (4.0%), general merchandise stores (1.2%), and other non-grocery retailers (5.1%) over last year.

Distribution channels for baby food products in the United States, by outlet type Retail value sales (US$ millions) and market share
Outlet type 2017 2022
Actual Share % Actual Share %
Total - retail channels 6,901.9 100.0 8,460.0 100.0
Store-based retail - offline 6,416.9 93.0 6,032.0 71.3
Grocery retailers 5,376.1 77.9 5,159.8 61.0
Convenience retail 57.4 0.8 62.6 0.7
Convenience stores 57.4 0.8 62.6 0.7
Supermarkets 2,163.3 31.3 2,047.2 24.2
Hypermarkets 2,217.0 32.1 2,112.2 25.0
Discounters 183.9 2.7 190.9 2.3
Warehouse clubs 274.1 4.0 430.5 5.1
Small local grocers 480.5 7.0 316.4 3.7
Non-grocery specialists 1,040.9 15.1 872.2 10.3
General merchandise stores 113.4 1.6 105.6 1.2
Health and beauty specialists 287.1 4.2 339.2 4.0
Other non-grocery retailers 640.4 9.3 427.3 5.1
Non-store retail - e-commerce 485.0 7.0 2,428.0 28.7
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

Retail sales in Mexico

Retail sales of baby food products (no milk formula) in Mexico increased by a CAGR of 7.6% (2017 to 2022) from US$125.4 million in 2017 to US$181.2 million in 2022. In this subsector, prepared baby food was the largest category by a market value share of 76.7% at a value of US$139.0 million, followed by dried baby food at US$34.8 million (19.2%), and other baby food snacks and drinks at US$7.4 million (4.1%) in 2022. Milk formula totalled US$1.2 billion over the same year.

Overall demand for baby food in Mexico is predicted to see further growth in 2022, as parents return to workplaces. However, with rising unit prices, factors resulting in much higher current value growth compared to volume, could impact price-sensitive consumers who were able already used to preparing their own food for their toddlers during the 2020 pandemic that allowed them to save money.Footnote 2 During the forecast period of 2022 (actual base year) to 2027, baby food (no milk formula) retail sales in Mexico are expected to increase in value by a CAGR of 7.5% from US$181.2 million in 2022 to US$259.8 million in 2027. Prepared baby food products are expected to register the highest growth at a CAGR of 7.7%, followed by other baby food snacks and drinks (7.2%), and dried baby food by 6.7% (2022 to 2027).

Retail sales of baby food by category in Mexico historic
Category 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 25.1 26.9 28.4 29.4 31.8 34.8
Prepared baby food 95.0 102.6 109.3 115.1 125.9 139.0
Other baby food snacks and drinks 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.2 6.7 7.4
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 125.4 135.1 143.6 150.7 164.4 181.2
Milk formula 847.1 906.5 963.0 978.0 1,082.6 1,206.6
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 972.5 1,041.6 1,106.5 1,128.6 1,247.1 1,387.8
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4
Prepared baby food 23.4 24.0 24.5 24.8 25.2 25.8
Other baby food snacks and drinks 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023
Retail sales growth (%) of baby food by category in Mexico, historic
Category Annual growth % 2022/2021 CAGR* % 2017-2022 Total growth % 2017-2022
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 9.4 6.8 38.6
Prepared baby food 10.4 7.9 46.3
Other baby food snacks and drinks 10.4 6.9 39.6
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 10.2 7.6 44.5
Milk formula 11.5 7.3 42.4
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 11.3 7.4 42.7
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food 2.3 0.9 4.8
Prepared baby food 2.4 2.0 10.3
Other baby food snacks and drinks 7.7 1.5 7.7

Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Retail sales of baby food by category in Mexico, forecast
Category 2022 2023 2024 2025 2027 2027
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 34.8 37.4 40.1 42.7 45.3 48.2
Prepared baby food 139.0 150.7 162.7 174.8 187.4 201.1
Other baby food snacks and drinks 7.4 8.0 8.6 9.2 9.9 10.5
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 181.2 196.1 211.4 226.7 242.6 259.8
Milk formula 1,206.6 1,311.2 1,412.5 1,509.7 1,606.3 1,706.9
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 1,387.8 1,507.4 1,624.0 1,736.3 1,848.9 1,966.6
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8
Prepared baby food 25.8 26.3 27.0 27.7 28.6 29.5
Other baby food snacks and drinks 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023
Retail sales growth (%) of baby food by category in Mexico, forecast
Category Annual growth % 2023/2022 CAGR* % 2022-2027 Total growth % 2022-2027
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 6.4 6.7 38.5
Prepared baby food 7.3 7.7 44.7
Other baby food snacks and drinks 6.1 7.2 41.9
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 7.1 7.5 43.4
Milk formula 6.3 7.2 41.5
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 6.4 7.2 41.7
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food 2.1 1.8 9.1
Prepared baby food 3.1 2.7 14.3
Other baby food snacks and drinks 0.0 1.4 7.1

Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Competitive landscape

In 2022, the top 5 baby food companies (including milk formula) and their brand(s) in Mexico, controlling 87.4% (US$1.2 billion) of the total retail market share were Nestlé SA at 53.8% (Nan, Nido, Gerber, Nestum), Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc. (RB) at 13.6% (Enfamil), Abbott Laboratories Inc.at 10.7% (Similac, PediaSure), Groupe Lactalis at 6.1% (SMA, Progress Gold, Promil), and United Pharmaceuticals SA at 3.2% (Novamil). No private label baby food companies in Mexico were reported in 2022.

Top baby food and milk formula companies in Mexico, 2022 Fixed retail value sales (US$ million) and market share
Company (baby food category) Top brand(s) Retail sales (US$ million) Market share %
Nestlé SA (milk formula, dried, prepared, other) Nan, Nido, Gerber, Nestum 746.8 53.8
Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc (RB) (milk formula) Enfamil 188.4 13.6
Abbott Laboratories Inc. (milk formula) Similac, PediaSure 149.1 10.7
Groupe Lactalis (milk formula) SMA, Progress Gold, Promil 85.1 6.1
United Pharmaceuticals SA (milk formula) Novamil 44.1 3.2
Royal FrieslandCampina NV (milk formula) Friso 35.5 2.6
Groupe Danone (milk formula) Aptamil 25.7 1.9
Kraft Heinz Company (prepared baby food) Heinz 13.0 0.9
Holle Baby Food GmbH (prepared, other baby food) Holle 0.4 1.4
Healthy Times Inc. (prepared baby food) Healthy Times 0.4 0.3
Others Others 100.2 7.2
Total - baby food 1,387.8 100.0
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

Retail distribution channels

The majority of Mexico's baby food and milk formula market was distributed through store-based retailing (US$1.4 billion) due to their wide range of products and brands versus non-store retailing (US$16.2 million), with a market share of 98.8% and 1.2%, respectively in 2022. Store-based (offline) retail sales grew by a total growth of 41.8% and although e-commerce (online) retail sales remained as a small distribution channel in baby food even after impressive growth during the COVID-19 pandemic, the channel grew by a total growth 179.3% between 2017 and 2022.

Mexican grocery retailers distribute most of the baby food and milk formula products (US$916.2 million) representing a market share of 66.0%, mainly within discount retailers (15.8%), hypermarkets (14.6%), and grocery supermarkets (12.1%) in 2022. The remainder of these products were distributed through non-grocery specialists (32.8%) such as health & beauty specialists (31.8%) and general merchandise stores (1.0%) over last year.

Distribution channels for baby food products in Mexico, by outlet type Retail value sales (US$ millions) and market share
Outlet type 2017 2022
Actual Share % Actual Share %
Total - retail channels 972.5 100.0 1,387.8 100.0
Store-based retail - offline 966.7 99.4 1,371.6 98.8
Grocery retailers 646.3 66.5 916.2 66.0
Convenience retail 50.5 5.2 70.2 5.1
Convenience stores 40.8 4.2 57.6 4.1
Forecourt retailers 9.6 1.0 12.6 0.9
Supermarkets 118.2 12.2 168.6 12.1
Hypermarkets 142.7 14.7 203.2 14.6
Discounters 153.7 15.8 219.0 15.8
Warehouse clubs 21.4 2.2 29.9 2.2
Small local grocers 159.8 16.4 225.3 16.2
Non-grocery specialists 320.3 32.9 455.4 32.8
General merchandise stores 10.1 1.0 14.1 1.0
Health and beauty specialists 310.3 31.9 441.3 31.8
Non-store retail - e-commerce 5.8 0.6 16.2 1.2
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

Retail sales in Canada

Retail sales of baby food products (no milk formula) in Canada increased by a CAGR of 3.8% (2017 to 2022) from US$175 million in 2017 to US$210.6 million in 2022. In this subsector, prepared baby food was the largest category by a market value share of 48.3% at a value of US$101.8 million, followed by other baby food snacks and drinks at US$67.7 million (32.1%), and dried baby food at US$41.1 million (19.6%) in 2022. Milk formula totalled US$335.1 million over the same year.

Baby food, excluding milk formula, as expected, saw an increase in retail value sales by 7.9% in 2022. During the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, some Canadians delayed having children but the birth rate is set to gradually increase as the economy reopens/resumes (increased population growth/immigration) and Canadians return to the workplace, supporting demand for baby food - whereby the breastfeeding rate increased during the pandemic, hence limiting the demand for milk formula.Footnote 3 During the forecast period of 2022 (actual base year) to 2027, baby food (no milk formula) retail sales in Canada are expected to increase in value by a CAGR of 4.8% from US$210.6 million in 2022 to US$266.8 million in 2027. As the snacking trend intensifies (appealing to millennial parents), other baby food snacks and drinks are expected to register the highest growth at a CAGR of 5.8%, followed by prepared baby food (5.5%), and dried baby food products by 1.3% (2022-2027).

Retail sales of baby food by category in Canada, historic
Category 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 40.4 40.3 38.0 40.5 39.9 41.1
Prepared baby food 82.0 84.2 85.2 93.4 93.7 101.8
Other baby food snacks and drinks 52.6 54.6 57.3 61.6 61.5 67.7
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 175.0 179.1 180.5 195.5 195.1 210.6
Milk formula 325.8 328.6 325.2 343.7 336.5 335.1
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 500.8 507.7 505.7 539.1 531.6 545.7
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.3
Prepared baby food 10.3 10.5 10.7 11.5 11.2 11.5
Other baby food snacks and drinks 3.6 3.7 3.8 4.0 3.9 4.1
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023
Retail sales growth (%) of baby food by category in Canada, historic
Category Annual growth % 2022/2021 CAGR* % 2017-2022 Total growth % 2017-2022
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 3.0 0.3 1.7
Prepared baby food 8.6 4.4 24.1
Other baby food snacks and drinks 10.1 5.2 28.7
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 7.9 3.8 20.3
Milk formula −0.4 0.6 2.9
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 2.7 1.7 9.0
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food 0.0 −1.2 −5.7
Prepared baby food 2.7 2.2 11.7
Other baby food snacks and drinks 5.1 2.6 13.9

Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Retail sales of baby food by category in Canada, forecast
Category 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 41.1 42.1 42.7 43.2 43.6 43.9
Prepared baby food 101.8 108.0 114.0 120.2 126.5 133.3
Other baby food snacks and drinks 67.7 72.0 76.1 80.4 84.8 89.6
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 210.6 222.1 232.8 243.8 254.9 266.8
Milk formula 335.1 341.9 347.5 353.1 358.9 365.5
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 545.7 563.9 580.4 596.9 613.9 632.3
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0
Prepared baby food 11.5 11.7 11.9 12.1 12.3 12.5
Other baby food snacks and drinks 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023
Retail sales growth (%) of baby food by category in Canada, forecast
Category Annual growth % 2023/2022 CAGR* % 2022-2027 Total growth % 2022-2027
Value sales in US$ millions, fixed 2022 exchange rate
Dried baby food 0.7 1.3 6.8
Prepared baby food 5.4 5.5 30.9
Other baby food snacks and drinks 5.7 5.8 32.3
Subtotal - baby food (no milk formula) 4.7 4.8 26.7
Milk formula 1.8 1.8 9.1
Total - baby food (including milk formula) 3.0 3.0 15.9
Volume sales in '000 tonnes
Dried baby food 0.0 −1.9 −9.1
Prepared baby food 1.6 1.7 8.7
Other baby food snacks and drinks 2.3 1.9 9.8

Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

*CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Competitive landscape

In 2022, the top 5 baby food companies (including milk formula) and their brand(s) in Canada, controlling 77.9% (US$425.3 million) of the total retail market share were Nestlé SA at 21.3% (Good Start, Gerber, Nestlé, Alsoy), Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc. (RB) at 19.7% (Enfamil), Abbott Laboratories Inc.at 17.7% (Similac, PediaSure, Isomil), the Kraft Heinz Company at 14.9% (Heinz, Farley's), and Hero Group GmbH at 4.3% (Baby Gourmet). Private label companies in Canada, represented a 6.5% market share at a value of US$35.3 million in 2022.

More organic and plant-based entrants are expected to enter the baby food sector. Due to the strong move amongst parents towards purchasing organic products for their babies, a US brand 'Once Upon a Farm' is a new organic player for its prepared baby food that made a forceful entry in the Canadian market with its high presence in major grocery retailers such as Metro, Loblaws and Sobeys. Previously there were unsuccessful attempts from the US organic baby food brands to enter Canada, due to the "made in Canada" appeal to Canadians. However, the organic trend is set to continue with more such new entrants - to challenge the strong positions and innovations from organic brands such as Baby Gourmet and Love Child. In addition, plant-based products have seen growth with a pioneer company in this category 'Else Nutrition' announcing that it will roll out its "100% plant-based, non-soy" baby food (including milk formula & other baby snacks) in Canada in 2022.Footnote 3

Top baby food and milk formula companies in Canada, 2022 Fixed retail value sales (US$ million) and market share
Company (baby food category) Top brand(s) Retail sales (US$ million) Market share
Nestlé SA (milk formula, dried, prepared, other) Good Start, Gerber, Nestlé, Alsoy 116.2 21.3
Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc (RB) (milk formula) Enfamil 107.6 19.7
Abbott Laboratories Inc. (milk formula) Similac, PediaSure, Isomil 96.4 17.7
Kraft Heinz Company (dried, prepared, other) Heinz, Farley's 81.4 14.9
Hero Group GmbH (dried, prepared, other) Baby Gourmet 23.7 4.3
GreenSpace Brands Inc. (dried, prepared, other) Love Child 15.8 2.9
Mondelez International Inc. (other baby food) Mr Christie's 10.4 1.9
Groupe Danone (dried baby food) Milupa 5.1 0.9
The Hain Celestial Group Inc. (prepared baby food) Earth's Best 3.1 0.6
Once Upon A Farm LLC (prepared baby food) Once Upon A Farm 1.2 0.2
Private label Private label 35.3 6.5
Others Others 49.4 9.0
Total - baby food 545.7 100.0
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

Retail distribution channels

The majority of Canada's baby food and milk formula sector was distributed through store-based retailing (US$529 million) versus non-store retailing (US$16.7 million) with a market share of 96.9% and 3.1%, respectively in 2022. Both store-based (offline) and e-commerce (online) retail sales grew by a total growth of 5.8% and 456.7%, respectively between 2017 and 2022.

Canadian grocery retailers distribute most of the baby food and milk formula products (US$429.5 million) representing a market share of 78.7%, mainly within supermarkets (44.7%), hypermarkets (16.1%), and small local grocers (9.3%) in 2022. The remainder of these products are distributed through non-grocery specialists (18.2%) such as health & beauty specialists (17.1%) and general merchandise stores (1.1%) over last year.

Distribution channels for baby food products in Canada, by outlet type Retail value sales (US$ millions) and market share
Outlet Type 2017 2022
Actual Share (%) Actual Share (%)
Total - retail channels 500.8 100.0 545.7 100.0
Store-based retail - offline 497.8 99.4 529.0 96.9
Grocery retailers 405.8 81.0 429.5 78.7
Convenience retail 1.1 0.2 0.9 0.2
Convenience stores 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.1
Forecourt retailers 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.1
Supermarkets 231.7 46.3 244.0 44.7
Hypermarkets 80.1 16.0 88.0 16.1
Discounters 26.7 5.3 28.1 5.1
Warehouse clubs 16.4 3.3 17.7 3.2
Small local grocers 49.8 10.0 50.9 9.3
Non-grocery specialists 92.1 18.4 99.5 18.2
General merchandise stores 5.7 1.1 6.2 1.1
Health and beauty specialists 86.3 17.2 93.3 17.1
Non-store retail - e-commerce 3.0 0.6 16.7 3.1
Source: Euromonitor International, 2023

Product launch and trend analysis

New product launch analysis

Mintel's Global New Products Database (GNPD) indicated that there were 1,557 new baby food products launched (including new variety/range extension, packaging, formulation or relaunched) throughout the North American markets between January 2018 and April 14, 2023. During this period, the number of new baby products consisted of 883 in the US at a 5-year (2018-2022) average of 128 per year, followed by 425 products in Canada (82.4/yr) and 249 products in Mexico (48.6/yr).

Number of baby food product launches in North America (including Mexico), January 2018 to April 14, 2023, total product item count (1,557)
Description of this image follows.
Description of above image
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 (up to April 14) Total
United States 211 150 148 157 123 94 883
Canada 122 74 59 33 124 13 425
Mexico 45 36 89 36 37 6 249

Source: Mintel, 2023

United States: Top parent companies launching baby food products in the United States between Q2-2022 and Q1-2023 were Nestlé (45), Hero (42), Sprout Foods (22), Cerebelly (10), AB Acquisition (10), and Amazon (7). New brands appearing for the first time launched in the American market within the last 6 months, included Gerber Snacks for Baby (strawberry apple spinach & banana peach teething wafers), Gerber Organic for Baby Grain & Grow (fig berry & cranberry orange puffs), Gerber Organic for Baby (mango, banana, carrot & blueberry apple beet teethers), and SpoonfulONE (Garden Veggie Crunchy Puffs. New baby food ingredients within the last 12 months were pumpkin seed, papaya powder, cocoa fat, dark chocolate, sunflower protein, Monk Fruit, and Tapioca fibre syrup. The fastest growing baby food flavours were pear (+900%), pea (+400%), carrot (+300%), cinnamon (+250%), sweet potatoe/Kumura (+200%), and green bean (+200%) between Q2-2021 and Q1-2023. Top growing baby food claims were plant based (+500%), microwaveable (+500%), functional - both brain & nervous system and immune system (+400%), and organic (+315%) between Q1-2022 and Q1-2023. Meanwhile, declining claims by −100% were low/no/reduced sodium, novel, low/no/reduced transfat, convenient packaging, and children between 5-12 years (−67%) during the same period.

Canada: Top parent companies launching baby food products in Canada between Q2-2022 and Q1-2023 were Baby Gourmet Foods (29), George Weston (16), Sprout Foods (13), Nestlé (13), Walmart (11), and Sobeys (8). New brands appearing for the first time launched in the Canadian market within the last 6 months, included Gerber Snacks Collations for Baby Soothe 'n' Chew (strawberry apple teething sticks), Gerber Snacks Collations for Baby (Arrowroot biscuits), Baby Gourmet Organic (banana, cinnamon & wholegrains purée), and Little Baby Gourmet Bright Blends (banana, blueberry, strawberry, Guava purée). New baby food ingredients within the last 12 months were Dipotassium Hydrogen Phosphate, Gamma-amylase, Goji fruit powder, almond butter, lemon oil, orange powder, natural pear flavour. The fastest growing baby food flavour was pear (+100%), while declining flavours were apple (−50%) and spinach (−33%) between Q2-2021 and Q1-2023. Top growing baby food claims were Kosher (+175%), children 5-12 yrs (+100%), and social media (+67%) between Q1-2022 and Q1-2023. Meanwhile, declining claims by −100% were functional - other, all natural product, microwaveable, premium, and vitamin/mineral fortified during the same period.

Mexico: Top parent companies launching baby food products in Mexico between Q2-2022 and Q1-2023 were Nestlé (6), Comercializadora Californianas (3), Walmart (3), Smiley Organic (3), Natureganix (2), and Kraft Heinz (2). New brands appearing for the first time launched in the Mexican market within the last 6 months, included Sun Harvest (organic apple, banana & strawberry baby food) and 3Carrots (carrot, pumpkin, beetroot and Curcumin baby food). New baby food ingredients within the last 12 months were lime juice concentrate, rosemary, cheddar cheese powder, ranch seasoning, sour cream powder/flavour, black pepper, vinegar, and orange flakes. The fastest declining baby food flavours were honey (−100%), sweet orange (−100%), banana (−67%), pear (−67%), and apple (−20%) between Q2-2021 and Q1-2023. Top growing baby food claims were low/no/reduced allergen (+300%) and gluten free (+300%), while declining claims by −100% were added calcium, functional - energy, microwaveable, low/no/reduced sodium, and Kosher between Q1-2022 and Q1-2023.

New product launches of baby food products in the United States, January 2018 to April 14, 2023
Product attributes Yearly launch counts
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Total
Yearly product launches 211 150 148 157 123 94 883
Top launch types
New variety/range extension 67 58 74 72 43 34 348
New packaging 53 25 39 36 36 31 220
New product 42 48 23 31 29 2 175
Relaunch 49 19 11 18 15 27 139
New formulation 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
Top five sub-categories
Baby fruit products, desserts and yogurts 114 83 73 102 40 45 457
Baby snacks 51 35 37 24 31 12 190
Baby savoury meals and dishes 19 18 20 21 22 35 135
Baby cereals 13 7 6 3 21 2 52
Baby biscuits and rusks 14 7 12 5 9 0 47
Top five parent companies
Nestlé 75 27 18 13 30 22 185
Gerber Products 72 24 13 13 29 22 173
Happy Family 35 9 37 31 7 0 119
Groupe Danone 35 9 37 31 7 0 119
Nurture 35 9 37 31 7 0 119
Top five brands
Plum Organics 22 7 4 0 2 3 38
Parent's Choice 6 0 14 0 17 0 37
Simple Truth Organic 8 4 1 19 4 0 36
Happy Baby Organics/Clearly Crafted 15 4 8 24 2 0 53
Gerber 10 6 4 1 3 0 24
Import Status
Imported 29 39 31 47 27 14 187
Not imported 17 7 15 12 5 0 56
Top five claims
Babies and toddlers (0-4) 211 150 148 157 123 94 883
GMO free 168 101 116 101 93 68 647
Organic 149 115 110 119 76 58 627
Kosher 113 70 71 72 57 29 412
No additives/preservatives 116 101 69 61 40 20 407
Top five flavour component
Apple 69 49 34 54 34 25 265
Banana 49 37 40 43 26 16 211
Pear 29 13 24 28 4 11 109
Strawberry 23 19 18 17 18 7 102
Carrot 21 14 18 19 11 13 96
Top package types
Flexible (stand-up pouch, sachet) 131 122 125 106 71 31 586
Jar 28 6 10 21 18 58 141
Tub 41 13 7 21 25 4 111
Composite 7 2 1 2 4 1 17
Tray 0 4 4 2 0 0 10
Source: Mintel; Global New Product Database, 2023
New product launches of baby food products in Canada, January 2018 to April 14, 2023
Product attributes Yearly launch counts
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Total
Yearly product launches 122 74 59 33 124 13 425
Top launch types
New variety/range extension 68 35 21 7 26 0 157
New packaging 19 28 6 12 52 0 117
New product 11 8 19 10 36 11 95
Relaunch 24 3 12 4 10 2 55
New formulation 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
Top five sub-categories
Baby fruit products, desserts and yogurts 44 38 17 8 43 9 159
Baby cereals 37 7 17 5 19 0 85
Baby snacks 10 5 14 15 30 2 76
Baby savoury meals and dishes 15 17 1 1 17 0 51
Baby biscuits and rusks 16 7 8 2 12 2 47
Top five parent companies
George Weston 25 19 0 8 18 0 70
Nestlé 28 0 19 5 16 2 70
Loblaws 25 19 0 8 18 0 70
Baby Gourmet Foods 14 10 3 10 23 8 68
Kraft Heinz 24 10 16 0 1 0 51
Top five brands
PC Organics 21 17 0 8 18 0 64
Parent's Choice Organic 4 13 1 0 14 0 32
Gerber (Organic) 13 0 19 4 9 0 45
Baby Gourmet 4 7 0 6 4 0 21
Mother Hen 10 6 0 0 0 0 16
Import status
Imported 62 41 21 16 82 0 222
Not imported 16 13 2 3 8 5 47
Top five claims
Babies and toddlers (0-4) 122 74 59 33 124 13 425
Organic 82 69 32 30 98 10 321
No added sugar 83 40 36 15 48 5 227
No additives/preservatives 60 31 44 15 56 2 208
Kosher 59 37 19 20 49 11 195
Top five flavours (including blend)
Apple 27 22 12 6 37 3 107
Banana 25 14 14 3 28 3 87
Carrot 9 11 7 3 21 1 52
Unflavoured/plain 22 8 7 3 6 0 46
Pear 13 6 6 1 16 2 44
Top package types
Flexible (stand-up pouch, sachet) 97 58 56 25 93 9 338
Tub 11 9 0 0 14 0 34
Jar 7 0 3 4 7 4 25
Tray 2 7 0 0 4 0 13
Composite 2 0 0 2 3 0 7
Source: Mintel; Global New Product Database, 2023
New product launches of baby food products in Mexico, January 2018 to April 14, 2023
Product attributes Yearly launch counts
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Total
Yearly product launches 45 36 89 36 37 6 249
Top launch types
New packaging 29 18 24 17 17 0 105
New product 3 10 19 9 4 4 49
New variety/range extension 12 3 19 5 8 2 49
Relaunch 1 5 27 5 7 0 45
New formulation 0 0 0 0 1 0 1
Top five sub-categories
Baby fruit products, desserts and yogurts 26 26 49 15 16 5 137
Baby cereals 8 6 9 14 10 1 48
Baby savoury meals and dishes 4 2 13 1 3 0 23
Baby snacks 3 0 12 5 2 0 22
Baby biscuits and rusks 4 2 5 0 5 0 16
Top five companies
Nestlé 26 25 55 22 17 1 146
Kraft Heinz 11 0 5 1 6 0 23
Fruselva 0 3 1 8 5 1 18
Delimex 8 0 5 1 3 0 17
H.J. Heinz 8 0 5 1 3 0 17
Top five brands
Gerber (Cosecha Natural, Junior, Yogolino, Orgánico) 18 21 44 11 10 1 105
Nestlé Nestum 6 2 1 6 2 0 17
Heinz 11 0 2 0 3 0 16
Smiley Kids 0 0 4 0 4 0 8
Parent's Choice 0 1 0 3 2 1 7
Import status
Not imported 30 27 62 19 17 1 156
Imported 15 9 26 14 18 5 87
Top five claims
Babies and Toddlers (0-4) 45 36 89 36 37 6 249
No Additives/Preservatives 37 33 72 23 27 1 193
Free from added/artificial preservatives or colourings 63 51 130 32 39 2 317
No Added Sugar 18 28 64 20 19 2 151
Vitamin/Mineral Fortified 35 18 47 19 18 1 138
Top five flavour components
Apple 10 18 21 8 12 4 73
Banana 9 4 13 4 5 1 36
Pear 5 6 11 5 5 1 33
Unflavoured/plain 5 4 7 8 7 0 31
Mango 4 7 11 3 4 1 30
Top package types
Flexible (stand-up pouch, sachet) 27 29 44 20 23 1 144
Jar 7 3 36 4 4 0 54
Can 5 2 1 5 6 1 20
Tub 5 2 4 0 1 4 16
Composite 1 0 0 6 1 0 8
Source: Mintel; Global New Product Database, 2023

Product examples

Butternut Squash Baby Food

Source: Mintel, 2023
Company Amazon.com
Brand Mama Bear Organic
Sub-category Baby food, savoury meals and dishes
Market United States
Store name / type Amazon.com, internet / mail order
Claims No additives / preservatives, organic, babies and toddlers (0-4), GMO free, free from added artificial colourings / flavourings
Launch type New product
Date published December 2022
Price in US dollars 12.75

Mama Bear Organic Butternut Squash Baby Food is now available - also, in sweet potato and carrot flavours, and retails in a 4 ounce pack. This product is a second stage food for babies aged above six months. Made with fresh ingredients, no artificial flavours or colours, non GMO, non BPA packaging. Logos and certifications: United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) Organic.

Apple, Cinnamon & Squash Bars

Source: Mintel, 2023
Company Yumi
Brand Yumi
Sub-category Baby food, snacks
Market United States
Related claims High / added fibre, Kosher, organic, babies and toddlers (0-4), gluten free, functional – brain and nervous system, low / no / reduced allergen, dairy free, no added sugar, plant based
Store name / type Target, mass merchandise / hypermarket, Gilbert 85297
Launch type New product
Date published January 2023
Price in US dollars 4.99

Retails in a 3.70 ounce pack, containing five 0.74 ounce bars. Made with nine superfood veggies, excellent source of fiber, 0 grams added sugar. Certified clean and organic, no gluten, dairy or nuts, Kosher, plant based. As much fiber as 1 cup of broccoli and as much iron as 2 cups of spinach with 13 essential nutrients including iron and vitamin B12. Intentionally formulated for growing brains and bodies. Nutritious and made without any added sugar. The pack is made from 100% recycled fibers made of at least 35% post consumer content, and is printed with soy inks. Logos and certifications: Clean Label Project Purity Award Toddler, USDA Organic, Kosher, California Certified Organic Farmers. Available in apple and broccoli and sweet pea meltable puffs.

Banana Blueberry Strawberry Guava Puree

Source: Mintel, 2023
Company Baby Gourmet Foods
Brand Little Gourmet Bright Blends
Sub-category Baby food, fruit, desserts and yogurts
Market Canada, not imported
Related claims Kosher, organic, babies and toddlers (0-4), social media, no added sugar
Store name / type Save-On-Foods, supermarket, Edmonton T6X 0P2
Launch type New product
Date published February 2023
Price in US dollars 2.23

Retails in a 113 millilitre pack. Contains 3 gram of protein, no added sugar, source of iron. Wholesome food for toddlers. BPA-free pack features serving instructions. Logos and certifications: Proudly Canadian Company, Canada Organic, Facebook, Instagram, USDA Organic, Kosher. Also, available in combined flavours such as mango coconut spinach, organic pear cherry spinach Chia, and organic strawberry banana bean purée.

Original Textured Oat Blend for Babies

Source: Mintel, 2023
Company Belov Comapagnie
Brand Belov
Sub-category Baby food, cereals
Market Canada
Claims Microwaveable, organic, babies and toddlers (0-4), vitamin/mineral fortified, social media, no added sugar
Store name / type Metro, mass merchandise / hypermarket, Montreal East, H1N 1C6
Launch type New product
Date published December 2022
Price in US dollars 5.12

Retails in a 180 gram pack. Organic product, excellent source of iron. Suitable from seven months of age with chia seeds, no added sugar. Contributes to the recommended daily iron intake and can be added to baby's favourite recipe with microwavable preparation instructions. Logos: Canada Organic, Instagram, Facebook. Also, available in textured oat blends such as apple cinnamon, and blueberry coconut.

Organic Apple, Banana & Strawberry Baby Food

Source: Mintel, 2023
Company Comercializadora Californianas
Brand Sun Harvest
Sub-category Baby food, fruit, desserts and yogurts
Market Mexico, manufactured in the United States
Related claims Organic, babies and toddlers (0-4), gluten free, low / no / reduced allergen
Store name / type Chedraui, supermarket, Mexico City 04870
Launch type New product
Date published January 2023
Price in US dollars 1.86

Retails in a 113 gram pack. Stage two product: for babies aged six months and over. Non-BPA, gluten-free, and certified organic. Pack features usage instructions. Logos and certifications: USDA organic. Also, available in other baby food flavour variants such as organic apple banana and strawberry and organic sweet potato.

Carrot, Pumpkin and Rice Baby Puree

Source: Mintel, 2023
Company Natureganix
Brand Babynat Orgánico
Sub-category Baby food, savoury meals and dishes
Market Mexico, manufactured in France
Related claims No additives / preservatives, organic, low / no / reduced sodium, babies and toddlers (0-4), gluten free, low / no / reduced allergen, ease of use, dairy free
Store name / type Chedraui Selecto, supermarket, Mexico City 03310
Launch type New product
Date published August 2022
Price in US dollars 2.89

The organic and ready to consume product is suitable for babies aged six months or older, and is free from added salt, milk, gluten, thickeners, and preservatives. It retails in a 200 gram pack featuring the EU Organic logo.

Opportunities for Canada

The global baby food import market is led by China and Saudi Arabia, then followed by the United States as the 3rd largest import market at a value of US$435.7 million (63.7 thousand tonnes) in 2022. In comparison, Mexico was the 24th largest import market at US$88.0 million (8.6 thousand tonnes) during last year. In addition, both the United States (US$8.5 billion, 11.6% market share) and Mexico (US$1.4 billion, 1.9% market share) were ranked as the 2nd and 6th largest retail markets across the world, respectively, for value sales in the baby food and milk formula sector (Euromonitor, 2022).

In 2022, the top three importers of baby food products from Canada were the United States (Can$22.6 million, 3.1 thousand tonnes), China (Can$3.9 million, 679.8 tonnes) and Mexico (Can$1.4 million, 337.5 tonnes) in 2022. Given the size of the American and Mexican sectors for baby food products, Canadian producers have an opportunity to significantly expand their exports and innovative products within the market. That said, it is important for Canadian suppliers to work closely with their importing partners and trade commissioners to ensure that the import requirements for their specific products are met within the market(s) of interest.

In October 2020, a new packaging regulation (NOM-051) entered into force in Mexico, which attempts to reduce rising obesity levels in the country. The new regulation requires manufacturers to display highly visible front-facing black seals which highlight when a product contains an excess of certain ingredients such as sodium, sugar, and fats, amongst others. However, this regulation excludes milk formula and baby food products that are already regulated by NOM-131; which considers specific requirements for the nutrition of babies and therefore, will not have an impact on the category's performance compared to other packaged food categories.Footnote 2

The Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) that came into force on July 1, 2020, provides Canadian exporters preferential tariff treatment in the form of reduced tariffs, and access to one of the world's largest economies. The tariff treatment of a good exported to the USA and Mexico depends on its specific tariff classification as determined by the American Customs Service. To benefit from tariff preferences in the United States and Mexico, Canadian exporters must ensure goods meet applicable rules of origin. The importer must have a valid certificate of origin in their possession at the time of importation.

Canadian exporters may consult the Canada Tariff Finder to explore tariff information for the American and Mexican markets under the CUSMA, along with other foreign markets with which Canada has a free trade agreement.

For more information

The Canadian Trade Commissioner Service:

International Trade Commissioners can provide Canadian industry with on-the-ground expertise regarding market potential, current conditions and local business contacts, and are an excellent point of contact for export advice.

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For additional information on flagship trade shows in the region, please contact:

Ben Berry, Deputy Director
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ben.berry@agr.gc.ca

Resources

  • Canada Tariff Finder, 2023
  • Euromonitor International, data statistics 2017-2027
  • Euromonitor International | October 2022. Country report: Baby food in the US
  • Euromonitor International | September 2022. Country report: Baby food in Canada
  • Euromonitor International | September 2022. Country report: Baby food in Mexico
  • Global Trade Tracker, 2023
  • Government of Canada, May 6, 2022: About CUSMA
  • Mintel Global New Products Database, 2023

Customized Report Service – Baby food trends in Canada, United States, Mexico (CUSMA)
Global Analysis Report

Prepared by: Erin-Ann Chauvin, Senior Market Analyst

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